Which Williamson County Are You In? | Franklin TN Real Estate June 2026

Which Williamson County are you in? Right now the answer to that question determines almost everything about your experience as a buyer or seller. John Turner breaks down the two markets hiding inside one county, and what the data says about where you stand. This is your Williamson County real estate market update for the week ending June 20, 2026, powered by Tru Insights from the Turner Victory Team at Onward Real Estate. YOUR 3 THINGS THIS WEEK: 1) $500K-$700K range: only 2.1 months of supply, a clear seller's market 2) Pending contracts peaked at 148 on May 9 and have dropped 34% to 97 this week 3) Priced right: 38 days, 98.8% of ask. Had to cut price: 107 days, a 69-day penalty WEEKLY SNAPSHOT: Active listings: 1,695 | Up 7.8% from last year | Near multi-year high Months of supply: 4.37 | Up 8.4% year over year Pending contracts: 97 | Essentially flat vs. same week last year New listings: 122 | Down vs. 233 same week last year 30-yr mortgage rate: 6.47% Market Health Score: 49 — Slight buyer's market IS WILLIAMSON COUNTY A SELLER'S MARKET OR A BUYER'S MARKET RIGHT NOW? It depends entirely on your price range. The $500K-$699K range has just 2.1 months of supply, that is a clear seller's market. Well-priced homes there are going under contract fast, with nearly 40% of all homes selling in the first seven days. But above $2.5 million, months of supply jumps to 6 months or more. The $4M-$4.99M range sits at 10.1 months. The $6M-$6.99M range is at 17.3 months with an average Tru DOM of 200 days. Franklin, Brentwood, Nolensville, Spring Hill, and Thompsons Station are all inside Williamson County, but they are not all in the same market right now. WHY ARE PENDING SALES DROPPING IN WILLIAMSON COUNTY? Demand peaked at 148 pending contracts the week of May 9 and has fallen 34% to 97 this week. Monthly completed data shows February pendings were down 10.1% year over year and March was down 5.4%. Consumer sentiment is at 49.80, historically low. Buyers are taking longer to decide, with average days to contract now at 60 days versus 51 days a year ago. Showings peaked at 2.76 per listing and have declined to about 2.0. That showing trend is a leading indicator, it tells you where pendings are heading before the pending number itself moves. WHAT HAPPENS TO WILLIAMSON COUNTY HOMES THAT SIT 90 DAYS OR MORE? Right now 442 homes in Williamson County, 26% of all active inventory, have been on the market 90 days or more. Of homes that hit 90 days, 66% never sell under that MLS number. Nearly half of all listings over the last six months expired or cancelled without closing. The most common cause is overpricing at launch. Sellers who priced correctly closed in 38 days at 98.8% of ask. Sellers who had to cut their price waited 107 days and received 91.4% of their original ask. On a $1.2M home that gap is roughly $89,000. WHY IS THE CONDO AND TOWNHOME MARKET SLOWING IN WILLIAMSON COUNTY? Lower price points in Williamson County are underperforming, and the data points to two causes. Rising HOA fees are making attached properties less attractive, especially at entry-level price points where a $300-$400 monthly HOA represents a significant percentage of carrying costs. At the same time, buyers who settled for condos and townhomes during the COVID inventory shortage are now finding single-family homes available and making the switch. Builders who approved condo projects during that period are delivering product into a market where demand has shifted. Turner Victory Team | Onward Real Estate | Serving Williamson County Call or text: 615-586-0900 | Office: 615-234-5020 Email: [email protected] Website: https://turnervictory.com Market data: https://turnervictory.com/williamson-... Sell your home: https://turnervictory.com/sell-your-h... Buy a home: https://turnervictory.com/buy-a-home/ Moving to Murfreesboro: https://turnervictory.com/moving-to-m... Market Analysis by John Turner, Creator of Tru Insights. CHAPTERS 0:00 — Which Williamson County Are You In? 0:30 — Your 3 Things This Week 1:15 — Market Health Score and Weekly Snapshot 2:00 — Weekly Activity Table and New Construction Breakdown 2:50 — Price Range Breakdown — Seller's Market vs. Buyer's Market 3:45 — Active Inventory at Multi-Year High 4:30 — Months of Supply Trend 5:10 — New Listings Well Below Last Two Years 5:50 — Weekly Pendings — Demand Pulling Back 6:40 — Speed of Sale — 40% Sell in Week One, 66% Fail After 90 Days 7:40 — Active Inventory and Relist Rates by Price Range 8:30 — Showings Per Listing — A Leading Indicator 9:20 — Why the Condo and Townhome Market Is Slowing 10:20 — The Two Markets Inside Williamson County 11:10 — What This Means for Buyers and Sellers