1 in 4 Homes Won't Sell | Williamson County Real Estate Market Update

Sellers are disappearing from the Williamson County real estate market right at peak season. New listings dropped 39% from the same week last year. And right now, 1 in 4 homes for sale has been sitting on the market for 90 days or more. John Turner breaks down what that means for buyers and sellers in Franklin, Nolensville, Brentwood, and all of Williamson County. This week's numbers: Active listings: 1,652 | Months of supply: 4.20 New listings: 136 (down 39% from same week last year — 224) New contracts: 112 | Closed: 91 Market Health Score: 52 (balanced, ticked slightly toward buyers this week) 30-year mortgage rate: 6.52% 26% of active inventory is new construction | 13% of recent closings $600K-$700K range: 62 homes active, 17 went under contract (27.4% pended — strongest in county) Under $1.5M: 4 months supply or less $500K-$800K sweet spot: 1.9 to 2.7 months supply (fastest contract speed in county) $3M+: 11.3 months supply 407 homes (25% of active inventory) at 90+ days with no contract 66.3% of homes that hit 90 days will expire or cancel under that MLS number Homes that do sell at 90+ days close at just 91.8% of original asking price Tru DOM vs MLS DOM above $3M: 94 true days vs 53 MLS days — nearly double Williamson County inventory is higher right now than any point in the past four years Showings ticked up slightly this week after several weeks of decline — watching this Speed of sale for homes that sell: 40% sell in the first 7 days 41% sell between day 8 and day 89 Only 19% sell at 90 days or beyond Questions about your home or your search? Reach out at TurnerVictory.com or call 615-586-0900. Serving buyers and sellers in Franklin, Nolensville, Brentwood, Spring Hill, Thompson's Station, Fairview, and all of Williamson County, Tennessee. Website: https://turnervictory.com Market Updates: https://turnervictory.com/williamson-... Buy a Home: https://turnervictory.com/buy-a-home/ Sell Your Home: https://turnervictory.com/sell-your-h... Moving to Murfreesboro: https://turnervictory.com/moving-to-m... John Turner | Turner Victory Team | Onward Real Estate Cell: 615-586-0900 | Office: 615-234-5020 | [email protected] YouTube: @turnervictoryteam Facebook: TurnerVictoryTeam Instagram: turner_victory_team LinkedIn: johnturnerrealtor #WilliamsonCountyRealEstate #FranklinTNRealEstate #NolensvilleTN #BrentwoodTN #MiddleTennesseeRealEstate #TurnerVictoryTeam #WilliamsonCountyHomes #HomesForSaleFranklinTN #TNRealEstate #HomeBuying2026 #HomeSelling2026 #RealEstateMarketUpdate #WilliamsonCountyMarketReport #FranklinTN CHAPTERS 0:00 — Sellers Disappearing at Peak Season — Introduction 0:40 — Point 1: New Listings Down 39% Year Over Year 1:25 — Point 2: The $500K-$800K Sweet Spot 2:10 — Point 3: 1 in 4 Homes at 90+ Days With No Contract 3:15 — Market Health Score and Weekly Snapshot 4:00 — Price Range Breakdown — Where the Market Is Moving 4:50 — Active Inventory — Highest Level in Four Years 5:40 — New Listings vs Pendings Trend 6:30 — Speed of Sale: First 7 Days vs 90+ Days 7:30 — The 90-Day Problem — 407 Homes and What Happens to Them 8:30 — Inventory and Price Range Deep Dive 9:15 — Tru DOM vs MLS DOM — The Hidden Days 10:00 — Showings Update and Mortgage Purchase Index 10:40 — New Construction Competition for Resale Sellers 11:30 — What This Means for Buyers and Sellers Right Now 12:15 — Reach Out — We Can Help