This Has NEVER Happened This Early Before

Record heat, a possible Super El Niño, and a new tropical target in the Gulf — today's forecast update Friends, we've got record-breaking weather happening all over the place today. I'm walking you through one of the strongest ridges we've ever seen build across the Northern Plains — strong enough that the National Weather Service office in Marquette says some of their longest-running stations could challenge all-time record highs. I'll show you the height pattern animation so you can see exactly why places like Billings, Glasgow, Bismarck, and even Salt Lake City and Provo are flirting with (or breaking) all-time heat records, and how that heat shifts east into the Northeast by midweek. I'm also covering today's severe weather threat across the Carolinas, Georgia, and Arizona (mainly damaging wind, not tornadoes), plus flood watches lingering over Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Then we head to the tropics: the Atlantic main development region is quiet for now, but I break down why the Gulf of Mexico is the area to watch in the day 5–8 window, including what the European ensemble and the newer AI models are picking up that the operational models aren't yet. Finally, I close with an El Niño update — sea surface temperatures in Niño 3.4 have hit 2°C above normal, the earliest that's ever happened on record, putting us right at the doorstep of Super El Niño status. I'll explain what that could mean as we transition from drought to flooding concerns heading into fall and winter. 📍 I'm broadcasting from Morganton, North Carolina — drop a comment and let me know where you're watching from and what the weather's doing near you. 🔔 New here? Subscribe and hit the notification bell so you don't miss tomorrow's update. 🙏 If there's anything I can be praying for you about, put it in the comments. In this video: Record/all-time heat ridge across the Northern Plains & Rockies GFS, European, and Canadian ensemble rainfall outlook (next 2 weeks) Today's severe weather & flood watch areas Gulf of Mexico tropical development watch (day 5–8) El Niño update: Niño 3.4 hits 2°C — Super El Niño threshold What a strong El Niño could mean for fall/winter weather patterns Chapters (0:00) Intro (2:00) Record Heatwave & Pattern (7:42) Severe Weather Outlook (11:03) Forecast Radar (13:39) Tropical Update (17:13) El Nino Update Social Media: X: https://x.com/RealColdRain Tiktok:   / realcoldrain   Facebook: //www.facebook.com/ColdRainWeather Store:    / @realcoldrain   https://jason-prichard-shop.fourthwal... Sites: www.tropicaltidbits.com home.pivotalweather.com www.southernwx.com www.weather.gov web.weatherwise.app www.windy.com For business and partnership opportunities, please reach out to: [email protected] #weather #weatherforecast #usweather #tropicalweather #elnino #flooding