Les marchés sont-ils en surchauffe ? (earnings ASML, Netflix...)

🏆 My investment method: https://www.financeoptimale.com/club 📞 Book your FREE AUDIT to learn more: https://app.iclosed.io/e/financeoptim... ASML posts exceptional results, yet the stock remains unchanged. Netflix has lost 45% in a year and is trading at 21 times earnings. Goldman Sachs breaks all its records. Behind these three sets of results lies the same lesson: valuation and cycles ultimately prevail. In this market review, I analyze three earnings reports that tell the same story. Goldman Sachs boasts a 23.5% ROE and record revenues, but this growth stems from its most cyclical businesses, and I explain why I consider this company outside my area of ​​expertise due to my inability to normalize its earnings. ASML massively raised its 2026 guidance to €43-45 billion, exceeded its announced margins, and is exercising real pricing power according to its CFO Roger Dassen, but the stock is stagnating because 59 times earnings no longer leaves any margin of safety. Netflix is ​​falling despite 12% growth, abandoning the Warner Bros. acquisition due to valuation discipline, carrying out the largest share buyback in its history, and dropping back to 21 times earnings from its historical high of 40. There's also discussion of the S&P 500, which has risen 95% since the end of 2022, the worrying signal from unprofitable companies in the Russell 2000 that are outperforming profitable ones, the profit cycle championed by Howard Marks, and how to build a QARP portfolio with real margins of safety rather than chasing semiconductor stocks. ⏱️ Chapters 00:00 Performance of the Week 03:00 Goldman Sachs Breaks All Its Records 04:49 The Hidden Risks Behind the Records 05:13 Where Growth Really Comes From 06:00 The Peak of the Cycle 07:07 Normalize Earnings or Nothing 07:53 Goldman Is Out of My Circle 09:54 The S&P 500 Has Gained 95% Since the End of 2022 12:07 Where I Stand: Invested and Cautious 12:49 How to Increase Your Margins of Safety 14:14 Unprofitable Companies Outperform Profitable Ones 16:07 Outperforming with Boring Companies 16:50 ASML: An Exceptional Quarter 19:17 Guidance Raised for 2026 20:38 Pricing Power According to Roger Dassen 21:43 The Profit Cycle According to Howard Marks 22:40 ASML remains a cyclical company 23:26 AMD and Micron weather cycles much better 24:45 ASML at 59x: the sticking point 26:45 Netflix falls despite good results 27:44 Abandoning Warner Bros. 27:59 The biggest share buyback in its history 28:37 Advertising isn't enough 32:20 The exceptional gain that inflates growth 34:03 Less transparency on subscribers 36:17 Netflix at 21x versus a historical 40x 38:13 My purchase price for Netflix ⚠️ Disclaimer: This video is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a personalized recommendation, or an inducement to buy or sell any financial asset. Investing involves the risk of capital loss. Do your own research or consult a licensed advisor before making any decisions. #StockMarket #ASML #Netflix