Austin Pendings Up 10.2% as June Prices Jump | Monday Touch Point June 29, 2026

Austin's housing market gave us a split screen in late June. Buyer demand stayed strong with pending sales up double digits year over year, June closing prices jumped, and yet several of our forward-looking flow indicators cooled as more sellers came back to market. In this Monday Touch Point, broker Dan Price breaks down exactly what is happening, what is real, and what the national headlines are getting wrong about Austin right now. Whether you are an agent prepping for a listing, a buyer trying to time the market, or an investor watching supply, this is the most rigorous free market read in Austin. https://teamprice.com/monday-touch-po... What we cover in this update: ✓ Pending sales up 10.2% year over year and what live demand really looks like ✓ The activity index at 21.6% and why your zip code matters more than the metro average ✓ The new listing to pending ratio, absorption rate, and market flow score pullback in June ✓ June average and median sold prices, and why those numbers will move ✓ The multifamily permit collapse and the 2028 to 2030 supply setup ✓ Current mortgage rates, the bond market, and the Thursday jobs report ✓ Backup contracts, the 24-hour MLS rule, and Wednesday's contract training Resources from Team Price Real Estate: Austin Metrics app for daily market data and zip-level activity index Insight and Statistics for new construction and resale breakdowns Market Update for the full weekly briefing and archived sessions Team Price Real Estate. Learn more at teamprice.com Timestamps 0:00:00 – Welcome Back and the Week Ahead 0:03:30 – This Week's Economic Calendar and What Moves Rates 0:08:51 – Current Rate Sheet Across Every Loan Type 0:09:44 – Lock and Float Explained for the Thursday Data 0:10:42 – The New Listing to Pending Ratio Model 0:14:23 – Updating This Week's Live Numbers 0:25:16 – Monthly New Listings and Why Supply Is Returning 0:31:50 – Active Inventory and the Run at Last Year's Peak 0:34:41 – The Permit Collapse and the Supply Squeeze Ahead 0:41:58 – Active, Pending, and Price-Drop Snapshot 0:42:56 – Activity Index and Why Your Zip Code Wins Listings 0:45:16 – Months of Inventory City by City 0:46:12 – June Pricing Surprise and Why It Will Move 0:49:03 – Migration, Taxes, and the Top Quartile 0:55:28 – Absorption Rate and Market Flow Score 0:58:04 – Wrap Up and Wednesday Contract Training