Fed Turning Hawkish

Today, Dr Ed and Elias set out the case for the Fed to tighten sooner rather than later. Unlike the consensus, which doesn’t expect a rate hike until late this year at the earliest, we see the FOMC raising the federal funds rate in July, after pivoting to a tightening bias at its meeting this month. That would be appropriate given the resilient economy, stable labor market, and rising inflation. Indeed, recent statements by various Fed officials suggest that a hawkish recalibration is underway. … Also: A sanguine take on recent consumer debt and credit statistics. They’re not cause for alarm, initial appearances to the contrary. … And Dr Ed reviews “Pressure” (+ +). Visit Yardeni QuickTakes: https://yardeniquicktakes.com Get your first month of QuickTakes Premium for free: https://quicktak.es/Yt-0a Visit Yardeni Research (institutional): https://yardeni.com (0:00) - Intro (1:21) - FIMO vs. FOMO: Earnings-Led Melt-Up Continues (3:38) - SpaceX, Anthropic & OpenAI IPO Dynamics (7:01) - Fed June Meeting: Easing Bias to Tightening Bias (9:12) - Oil Shock, Iran & Strait of Hormuz Risk (13:54) - Market Charts: S&P 500, Earnings Breadth & Valuations (22:50) - Inflation, Labor Markets & Fed Rate Hike Outlook (23:31) - Q&A: Labor Share, Fed Policy & Geopolitical Risk (29:51) - Q&A: EMX Exposure, SpaceX IPO & Gold Outlook