Fed Rate Hike Still On The Table

Neither the Fed’s dual mandate nor its official 2% inflation target have changed. But from what Kevin Warsh has said since assuming the role of Fed chief in May, his priority appears to be the inflation side of the dual mandate and his target may be underlying inflation rather the PCED inflation rate. Today, Ed and Elias look at the ramifications of such a potential shift in the Fed’s focus and discuss the best measure of underlying inflation. They also assess the latest economic data and explain why they think a rate hike this year is still likely. … Also: Dr Ed reviews “I Swear” (+ +). Visit Yardeni QuickTakes: https://yardeniquicktakes.com Get your first month of QuickTakes Premium for free: https://quicktak.es/Yt-0a Visit Yardeni Research (institutional): https://yardeni.com (0:00) - Intro (9:54) - S&P 500 Summer Stall: Rotation & Sector Trends (15:30) - FEMA: Earnings Momentum & Profit Margins (22:39) - Bond Market, Credit Spreads & Fed Rate Outlook (23:39) - Fed Policy Debate: Warsh, Inflation Targets & PCED (26:56) - Q&A: Oil, Strait of Hormuz & Geopolitical Risk (31:40) - Q&A: Elections, Gridlock & AI Competitive Landscape