The Great Private Equity Hangover | Protect the Pile Episode 19 w/ Dan Rasmussen

00:00 Welcome to Protect the Pile with Dan Rasmussen 01:31 Dan Rasmussen’s Origin Story 03:08 Why Private Equity Looks Like Levered Microcaps 05:15 Private Equity’s Risk Problem & Delayed Marks 07:51 Private Credit, Public Market Signals & Hidden Stress 09:14 The Roll-Up Boom: From Pest Control to Public Libraries 15:18 Why Retail Investors May Be More Skeptical Than Institutions 21:00 Venture Capital vs. Private Equity Misconceptions 26:30 Dan Rasmussen’s Bull Case for Japan 35:13 Small Caps, AI and the Strange 2026 Market On this episode of Protect the Pile, R. Patrick Kent, John McNamara and Brooks Cutright sit down with Dan Rasmussen, Founder and Managing Partner of Verdad Advisers, for a sharp, skeptical look at private markets, Japan, small caps and the AI boom. Rasmussen explains why private equity may be less of a magic asset class and more like “levered microcaps” with delayed marks, inflated valuations and growing liquidity risks. The group digs into private credit, zombie funds, roll-ups, venture capital, Japan’s corporate governance reforms and why cheap markets getting better can create opportunity. They also debate whether AI’s biggest winners may not be the mega-cap companies spending the most, but smaller businesses that can use the technology to improve margins. It’s a candid, practitioner-level conversation about risk hiding in plain sight.

Real Conversations | The Fractals of Finance: Richard Brennan on the Hidden Geometry of Markets
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Real Conversations | The Fractals of Finance: Richard Brennan on the Hidden Geometry of Markets

Mick Jagger Can’t Name One Good Thing About Getting Older | The Interview
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Mick Jagger Can’t Name One Good Thing About Getting Older | The Interview

Louis-Vincent Gave: Inside China's Plan to Kill the Dollar's Dominance
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Louis-Vincent Gave: Inside China's Plan to Kill the Dollar's Dominance

Dennis Kelleher of Better Markets
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Dennis Kelleher of Better Markets

Bear Market Then a Rip Higher? Tom Lee's H2 Call
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Bear Market Then a Rip Higher? Tom Lee's H2 Call

When Passive Money Meets Mega IPOs | Protect the Pile Episode 13
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When Passive Money Meets Mega IPOs | Protect the Pile Episode 13

Value Investing Legend Seth Klarman: Masters in Business
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Value Investing Legend Seth Klarman: Masters in Business

David Rosenberg's Playbook for the Coming Bear Market
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David Rosenberg's Playbook for the Coming Bear Market

Neil Howe on the SpaceX IPO: Party Like It’s 1999? | Protect the Pile Episode 15
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Neil Howe on the SpaceX IPO: Party Like It’s 1999? | Protect the Pile Episode 15

‘History Is Repeating’: Today's Markets Mirror The Great 1873 Crash | Liaquat Ahamed
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‘History Is Repeating’: Today's Markets Mirror The Great 1873 Crash | Liaquat Ahamed

The Rich Are Getting Screwed + The AI Industry's Dirty Secret
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The Rich Are Getting Screwed + The AI Industry's Dirty Secret

AI Bubble: We’re headed for the first Tech Great Depression | Ed Zitron
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AI Bubble: We’re headed for the first Tech Great Depression | Ed Zitron

Ex-Goldman CEO: why I'm bullish on big tech right now
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Ex-Goldman CEO: why I'm bullish on big tech right now

JP Morgan's Michael Cembalest on the Impending Treasury Bust
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JP Morgan's Michael Cembalest on the Impending Treasury Bust

Jim Grant: The Next Crash Won't Look Like 2008
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Jim Grant: The Next Crash Won't Look Like 2008

Nikesh Arora on the Frontier Model Problem: Breadth vs Depth | The Future of Token Costs
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Nikesh Arora on the Frontier Model Problem: Breadth vs Depth | The Future of Token Costs

John Mearsheimer: “Enormous Damage” of U.S.’s Iran War Loss
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John Mearsheimer: “Enormous Damage” of U.S.’s Iran War Loss

"The Worst Sentiment I've Ever Seen in 50 Years" | Adrian Day
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"The Worst Sentiment I've Ever Seen in 50 Years" | Adrian Day

America's 250-Year Market Miracle | Protect the Pile Episode 18 w/ Meb Faber
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America's 250-Year Market Miracle | Protect the Pile Episode 18 w/ Meb Faber

Growing Risk Of Semiconductors Rolling Over & Dragging The Market Down With Them | Lance Roberts
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Growing Risk Of Semiconductors Rolling Over & Dragging The Market Down With Them | Lance Roberts