La guerre d'Iran et la fin de la domination américaine - Fatiha Dazi-Héni & Pierre Haski

The agreement ending the US-Israeli war against Iran has just been signed. But behind the end of the fighting, a certainty has crumbled: that of American protection. Bases pulverized, Gulf airports attacked, the Strait of Hormuz transformed into a front line. The Arab monarchies have understood that not a single drop of American blood will be shed to defend them. Pierre Haski interviews Fatiha Dazi-Héni, a political scientist at IRSEM and specialist on the Arabian Peninsula, to analyze this post-war landscape: the end of the American guarantee, the open rivalry between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi, the failed gamble of the Emirates on Israel, the return of Iran to the equation, and the emergence of nuclear-armed Pakistan. The map of the Gulf is being redrawn before our very eyes. Fatiha Dazi-Héni is the author of "Saudi Arabia in 100 Questions" (Tallandier) and "Monarchies and Societies of Arabia" (Presses de Sciences Po). #Iran #Geopolitics #MiddleEast 00:00 Introduction 00:57 The Gulf, a direct victim of the Iranian war 05:34 The Iranian calculation: Strait of Hormuz and the global economy 07:17 Why the Americans were caught off guard 08:33 Emirates: Iron Dome, Netanyahu, and the Israeli gamble 13:00 Riyadh versus Abu Dhabi: the Gulf rift 14:39 MBS, from MBZ's protégé to strategic maturity 20:07 September 2019: the real breaking point 21:38 Two visions: fragment or stabilize the region 23:27 The "third Gulf War" 27:03 Israel without a political project, the Emirates isolated 31:18 The new map: Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt 33:05 IMEC, the Abraham Accords, and the Palestinian question 38:06 "Greater Israel" and the hardening of positions Saudi Arabia 40:03 What place for Iran? The role of China 43:29 Trump, the big loser, and the end of the Quincy Agreement 46:45 Pakistan, peacemaker and nuclear power 50:48 The economic shock: Dubai and Vision 2030 56:21 Do Europe and France still have a place? In partnership with @lenouvelobs / @nouvelobs Find all of Pierre Haski's geopolitical columns on the "Nouvel Obs" website 👉 https://www.nouvelobs.com/la-chroniqu... Images: François Cauwel - Editing: Hippolythe Lathiere - Graphic Design: Lou Sanchez - Production Managers: Louise Pouchoulon and Nicolas Wiart - Produced by Anthony Dufour. Thanks to the Gaieté Lyrique where this conversation was recorded. Any reproduction, distribution or exploitation of this content, in whole or in part, without prior authorization is strictly prohibited.