Winter & the War in Ukraine - Who is better prepared for winter conditions?

Description: The 2022 phase of the war in Ukraine began in the closing weeks of winter, with a February offensive rapidly coming to face the onset of mud and thawing conditions. Now, in December, Ukraine prepares for a full winter of full-scale, conventional conflict. Winter conditions are extremely demanding, both on manpower and materiel, and in this episode we look a little closer at what is involved in operating in cold weather conditions, how cold Ukraine gets, and how prepared both sides seem to be for the onset of their winter war. Patreon:   / perunau   Caveats: Getting a holistic picture on the quality of supply and training for Ukrainian and Russian units is difficult. Social media and visual evidence are useful sources, but will only ever represent a small sample of overall units. Analysis is based on, and limited by, the available information. On second listening, this video includes some wording that could have been tightened up. For example, I think I say efficiency regarding battery performance in cold word when 'capacity' would have been more accurate. When I suggest that both sides are likely to launch offensives, I do not mean that both will likely launch operations at the same scale, simply that both will identify local opportunities to exploit conditions. Comments on recent publicity around certain sponsors on YT towards the end of this video simply represent me restating what I have heard, and do not constitute an accusation of any wrongdoing by any actor. Sources/Extra Reading: ATP 3-90.97 Mountain Warfare and Cold Weather Operations https://irp.fas.org/doddir/army/atp3-... ATP 3-21.50 Infantry Small-Unit Mountain and Cold Weather Operations https://armypubs.army.mil/epubs/DR_pu... Supply of winter equipment: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/... https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-new... https://mil.in.ua/en/news/latvian-com... https://www.reuters.com/world/canada-... UD 6-81-7 E INSTRUCTION IN WINTER SERVICE USE AND MAINTENANCE OF EQUIPMENT https://www.forsvaret.no/en/organisat... Ukraine has enough gas for winter, prime minister says https://www.reuters.com/business/ener... Credit to relevant Twitter aggregators referenced in this video, e.g.   / 1     / 1555002181509586944     / 1595788630206849024     / 1595515700810027008   Order of the Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation dated November 4, 2022 No. 547 "On approval of the List of information in the field of military, military-technical activities of the Russian Federation, which, if received by foreign sources, can be used against the security of the Russian Federation http://publication.pravo.gov.ru/Docum... Timestamps: 00:00:00 — OPENING WORDS 00:02:54 — WHAT AM I TALKING ABOUT? 00:04:14 — HOW COLD IS COLD 00:04:34 — Categorising Cold 00:05:17 — Wet Cold 00:06:33 — Dry Cold 00:07:18 — Intense Cold 00:08:05 — Extreme Cold 00:08:54 — Hazardous Cold 00:09:54 — How Cold Does Ukraine Get? 00:11:12 — TACTICAL LEVEL 00:11:24 — Concealment and Movement 00:13:57 — Protecting the Person 00:16:30 — Equipment Issues 00:17:46 — Mounting Requirements 00:19:35 — Training and Discipline Premium 00:23:14 — What Does it Mean? 00:25:23 — OPERATIONAL LEVEL 00:25:42 — Not a Time to Stop 00:27:25 — Historical Engagements 00:28:42 — Enabling Movement 00:29:48 — Pushing Logistics 00:31:12 — The Aerial Dimension 00:32:55 — HOW WELL PREPARED ARE THEY 00:33:17 — Not Their First Winter War 00:34:56 — The MOBIK Problem 00:36:39 — Gearing Up for Winter 00:38:09 — The Russian Situation 00:39:34 — The Full Spectrum 00:40:58 — Real Solutions 00:41:20 — The Role of Volunteers 00:42:39 — Are They Ready? 00:45:25 — Leadership at All Levels 00:47:18 — Operational Concerns 00:48:40 — The Fuel of War 00:49:38 — So, On Balance? 00:51:10 — WHAT TO EXPECT? 00:51:24 — Objectives 00:53:23 — Operational Tempo 00:54:13 — Realities at the Front 00:55:31 — STRATEGY LEVEL 00:55:43 — Winter Economics 00:56:22 — Russian Comfort 00:57:02 — Threats 00:58:45 — The Will Go On 01:00:23 — CONCLUSIONS 01:01:55 — CHANNEL UPDATE

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