코스피 '7천피' 탈환, 하이닉스 야간 ADR 27% 폭등 충격… AI 반도체 코어 부활 vs 데이터센터 전력 수혜 2차전지 폭발 l 현상준·유일한·안인기·이영노 l더 워룸 2부

#CPISavedIt #InflationConcernsEased #Reclaimed7000Points #EngineReignited #HanmiSemiconductor #DaeduckElectronics #Bit & Electronics #SecondaryBatteryRebound #EcoProBMBrakes 👤 Cast Information Hyun Sang-jun | CEO, Ventus Investment Yoo Il-han | Director, Quant Holdings Co., Ltd. Ahn In-ki | CEO, Kangho Investment Consulting Co., Ltd. Lee Young-no | Deputy Manager, DB Securities Euljiro Financial Center 💡 Today's Code Name Key Point (CPI Saved It): As the U.S. core CPI index fell below expectations and signals of slowing inflation became clear, expectations for a Fed interest rate cut rose and concerns about interest rates were significantly eased. Investment sentiment across the domestic semiconductor and materials/parts/equity sectors improved rapidly thanks to a 27% surge in SK Hynix ADRs during the night market in New York, and the easing of transit risks in the Strait of Hormuz also acted as a positive factor. Technically, the market has entered a strong rotational trading phase, attempting to break through the 120-line on the 30-minute chart. Amid the possibility of stricter regulations on single-stock leveraged ETFs, foreign investors have returned with a massive net purchase of 2.5 trillion won, while individual investors are engaging in profit-taking of nearly 3 trillion won. Buying timing should be focused on earnings growth stocks, such as LG Electronics, which announced a 9.4 trillion won investment to secure physical AI competitiveness, and power infrastructure stocks (SK Eternix) benefiting from the three major mega-projects. ⚔️ Supply & Demand Analysis Room 📉 ① Must Buy – Semiconductor (+Materials, Parts & Equipment, Substrates) Ahn In-ki: This is a phase where a strong technical rebound is unfolding due to the excessive short-term decline. As we enter the earnings season, future DRAM price guidelines will become a key indicator, and there is a high possibility that supply and demand will concentrate on core packaging equipment stocks and back-end process value chains that will lead the next-generation HBM4 market. Lee Young-no: Expectations for increased capital expenditures (CAPEX) by global big tech companies driven by the high growth of AI semiconductors remain valid, and the capacity expansion cycles of Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron are continuing in tandem. We are now in a phase where increased demand for semiconductor substrates and materials is justified due to the expansion of production capacity (CAPA) across both the front-end (wafer miniaturization/yield) and back-end (packaging) processes. 📉 ② Should I Buy – Secondary Batteries (You Thought It Was Discharged?) Ahn In-ki: Beyond simple electric vehicle momentum, expectations for extreme power grid benefits required to operate AI data centers are emerging as a new growth axis. This is a time when strict, compressed, staggered buying is recommended, focusing on leading stocks with major supply inflows that dominate the market while possessing unrivaled technological capabilities and high-value portfolios. Lee Young-no: In line with the trend of expanding eco-friendly energy, the growth of companies that have rapidly diversified their business structures from a focus on electric vehicle batteries to the ESS (Energy Storage System) market stands out. As regulatory barriers against China by the US and EU are tightened, the top three domestic battery cell manufacturers and large-cap materials stocks are expected to directly benefit from the resulting indirect gains. 📝 Tomorrow's Market iF Report ① What if the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Committee decides to raise interest rates? (Semiconductor materials, parts, and equipment vs. rotation to other sectors) – Ahn In-ki Increased intraday volatility due to concerns over macro tightening is inevitable until the Monetary Policy Committee meeting. However, a firm overweight perspective should still be maintained for the semiconductor materials, parts, and equipment sector, which possesses the most solid earnings strength. The scenario is that the momentum of leading stocks will strengthen again once a clear market direction is confirmed immediately after the interest rate decision. ② What if Iran blocks the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (Major market shock vs. short-term buying opportunity) – Lee Young-no If the Suez Canal and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—key hubs for Asia-Europe maritime logistics—are further blocked by Iran, concerns about supply-driven inflation caused by an explosive surge in international oil prices will once again pressure global stock markets. While a short-term shock to the index is inevitable as concerns over the Fed's hawkish interest rate hikes are reignited, the short-term undershooting phase caused by external geopolitical headwinds could present a clear opportunity to buy fundamental blue-chip stocks at a low price. #CPIWarm #InflationSlowing #Reclaiming7000Points #SKHynixADR #DaeduckElectronics #BitcoElectronics #HanmiSemiconductor #Sam...