Денег всё меньше. Куда движется российская экономика?

The Russian economy continues to operate, but it is increasingly entering a state of protracted stagnation. The budget deficit is growing, goods and services are becoming more expensive, civilian production is declining, and problems with fulfilling government contracts are emerging. Meanwhile, the military sector is no longer able to compensate for the decline in the rest of the economy. Economist Andrei Yakovlev explains why the system is approaching its limits, how official inflation differs from what people see, and why businesses are increasingly fearful of nationalization. Is a transition to a mobilization-based economic model possible for Russia? Will the state have sufficient managerial and human resources? What will happen to private business? And why is the current situation reminiscent of the economic fork in the road of the late 1920s? We will also discuss on air: — federal and regional budget deficits; — hidden non-payments on government contracts; — high key interest rates; — citizens' inflation expectations; — nationalization of private companies; — the possible appointment of Andrei Belousov as Prime Minister; — the fears of big Russian business; — a scenario of prolonged stagnation and further escalation. ❤️ Support independent journalism, it helps us continue our work. 💳 One-time donation: ▪ 1000 ₽ — https://u.to/t37nIQ 🔁 Monthly support: ▪ 300 ₽ — https://u.to/-H7nIQ ▪ 500 ₽ — https://u.to/MX-nIQ ▪ 1000 ₽ — https://u.to/aX-nIQ ⸻ 🛍 Our merch: https://bookmerchshop.ru https://ozon.ru/t/bepddwW ⸻ 📰 Read Novaya Gazeta articles: https://novayagazeta.ru ⸻ 📲 YouTube is slowing down — subscribe to our video channel Telegram: http://t.me/nomediarussia ⸻ 📩 For advertising and partnership inquiries: [email protected] ⸻ 🎙 YouTube channel "NO.Media from Russia" is a project by independent journalists who continue to work in Moscow. *designated a foreign agent by the Russian Ministry of Justice In this episode: 00:00 Andrey Yakovlev on the Russian economy 00:44 What's happening with the economy right now 01:49 "The economy can't be forced for five years" 02:45 Which industries are growing and which are declining 04:46 The market system is reaching its limits 05:09 The budget deficit turned out to be higher than planned 05:43 Comparison with the 2009 crisis 06:41 What will happen next 07:13 Are hidden non-payments returning? 08:11 Why the state isn't paying contracts 09:37 Inflation and indexation of expenses 10:39 What's happening with prices 11:05 Official and real inflation 12:36 Why the Central Bank isn't lowering the rate 12:43 Putin demands a reduction in the key rate 13:45 Where does inflation come from? 15:04 Russia as an economy in the late 1920s 15:19 How the NEP rebuilt the country 16:30 Contradictions of a mixed economy 17:41 Two paths to industrialization 18:33 What might happen after the elections 19:27 Transition to a mobilization economy 19:55 "Growth Crystal" and the Stalinist model 20:35 Belousov and Gosplan 2.0 21:07 Nationalization will continue 21:54 Could Belousov become prime minister? 22:43 The North Korean scenario 23:18 Enough Should the state have managers? 24:03 How the DPRK economy works 25:27 Is sabotage from below possible? 25:38 What does business think about nationalization? 26:45 The mood of Russian entrepreneurs 27:37 Why hopes for a quick peace have disappeared 28:31 Big business expects the worst 29:07 "If necessary, they will take everything from everyone" 29:41 Why no one is protected 30:06 What does business fear more than stagnation? 31:29 Is uncontrolled escalation possible? 32:13 Russia is reminiscent of 1916 32:49 What is the business elite capable of? 33:16 Interview with Andrey Melnichenko 34:03 How Melnichenko preserved his assets 35:00 Permission for public activity 36:04 Can business influence the situation? 37:01 Publication Melnichenko: An Initiative or a Signal from the Kremlin 38:22 Final Conclusions 39:07 Sale at the Novaya Gazeta Store