【アナリストコンセンサス】なぜ"好決算"なのに株は下がる？ 元機関投資家が教える「コンセンサス」の正しい使い方【基礎解説シリーズ】

00:00 Opening 1:22 Stock prices are driven by "expectations," not "actual results." 1:39 What is analyst consensus? (Average of analyst forecasts) 3:38 Understanding the three patterns of stock price movement 4:03 Why do stock prices fall even with good earnings and increased profits? 5:17 What are Positive/Inline/Negative Surprises? 6:05 How to View Consensus for Free: "IFIS" 6:24 [Case Study] Nintendo | Company Forecast 430 Billion Yen vs. Consensus 554.6 Billion Yen 7:59 How Stock Prices Move with "Revisions" to Earnings Forecasts 11:48 Sales, Operating Profit, Ordinary Profit, Net Profit | Forecast Gaps by Item 13:28 Looking at Past "Habits" | Conclusion: Those Who Study Stocks Are Stronger 📌 Past Explanation Videos Related to This Video 1:28 Related to "Expectations and Dialogue with the Market": Explanation of Timee →    • 最高益の『タイミー』なぜ株価が暴落したのか？株主から「ネガティブサプライズ」と判定さ...   4:20 Related to "Negative Surprises": Explanation of Komeda Coffee →    • 【コメダ珈琲】売上22%増なのになぜ株価急落？決算に隠された「強気すぎる業績予想」   6:24 Explanation of Nintendo →    • 【任天堂】決算発表で株価急落。決算数字から読み解く「プラットフォーマーの宿命」とは？   8:37 Related to "Analyst Consensus Downward Revision": Denso's Explanation →    • 【デンソー】ローム買収撤回で今後どうなる？収増益のデンソー、なぜ市場は評価しないのか...   Learn the essence of stock investment and asset management with Izumidaism. Former institutional investor Ryosuke Izumida thoroughly explains the concepts of company analysis and valuation (fair stock price) for Japanese and US stocks necessary in the new NISA era. Ryosuke Izumida's new channel, "Izumidaism," is launching! Hello, I'm Ryosuke Izumida. This channel is where I, with my experience as a former institutional investor and securities analyst, explain "professional company analysis" and "economic news" in an easy-to-understand way for individual investors. ▼What you can learn from this channel Instead of short-term information like "buy this stock and you'll make money," which is abundant in the market, we deliver content that cultivates a fundamental "eye for companies." Professional Corporate Analysis: Unraveling the "True Value of a Company" Behind Financial Statements and News Valuation (Pricing): Is the Stock Price Undervalued? Overvalued? Explaining the Logic of Institutional Investors ■Ryosuke Izumida Profile Securities Analyst After graduating from Keio University's Faculty of Commerce, he worked as a portfolio manager and securities analyst for foreign and Japanese stocks at Nippon Life Insurance and Fidelity Investments. He completed his Master's degree at Keio University Graduate School of System Design and Management. Certified Securities Analyst (CMA) of the Securities Analysts Association of Japan. Part-time lecturer at Tokyo University of Science Graduate School, lecturing on energy and industrial architecture. ■Books "Stock Investment Methods That Don't Require Forecasts, Known Only to Institutional Investors" https://amzn.asia/d/9ZYntIf "The Industrial Landscape Where Technology Will Reshape Everything" https://amzn.asia/d/4u3GYpI "Google vs. Toyota: Self-Driving Cars are Just the Beginning" https://amzn.asia/d/3E1vHv6 "What Will Happen to Banks?" https://amzn.asia/d/fw4fYhB "Japan's Electronics Industry: What Will Determine Success or Failure?" https://amzn.asia/d/gGnQe7m *The information on this channel is provided for informational purposes only, representing the personal views of an analyst. It does not endorse any specific stocks or investment methods. Investment is at your own risk. #NISA #Investment #JapaneseStocks