2026 U.S. Open Picks, Predictions and Best Bets | First Look

The 2026 U.S. Open betting preview is here. We break down the odds, favorites, sleepers, and best bets for Shinnecock Hills before the year's third major. Build your own U.S. Open card with The Rabbit Hole, and new players get the first week for $1 with code USOPEN: https://bit.ly/bsg-ytd In this First Look, we preview the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York, running June 18 to 21. Scottie Scheffler headlines the board at +550 as he chases the career Grand Slam, with Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, and 2018 Shinnecock winner Brooks Koepka all in the mix. We cover the full odds board, our favorite value plays and sleepers, the matchups we like, and how Shinnecock's brutal setup shapes who can actually win. What we cover: The betting favorites and full outright odds Sleepers and longshots with real value Course breakdown: how Shinnecock Hills plays 2026 U.S. Open Picks, Predictions and Best Bets | First Look 0:00 - US Open First Look at Shinnecock Hills 0:04:00 - Odds Board: Scottie at 6-1, Rory, Rahm, and the Second Tier 0:06:00 - Scottie's Grand Slam Bid and Father's Day Birthday Storyline 0:07:00 - Thursday Wind Forecast and How USGA Will Set Up the Course 0:08:00 - Wider Fairways in 2026 and What That Changes Off the Tee 0:12:00 - Two-Foot Fescue Rough and Why Missing Fairways Is Death 0:19:00 - Brian Harman Accuracy Angle vs. Minwoo Lee Bomber Risk 0:21:00 - Par Four Scoring Is the Key Filter at Shinnecock 0:25:00 - Bogey and Double Bogey Avoidance on Impossible Conditions 0:30:00 - Comp Courses: Pinehurst, Links Style, and Open Championship Data 0:34:00 - Very Difficult Scoring Filter in the Rabbit Hole 0:36:00 - Model Output: Scottie, Rahm, Xander, Henley on Top 0:53:00 - Cam Smith, Tommy Fleetwood, and Ty Hatton as Live Plays