Supergirl's Numbers Just COLLAPSED 11 Days Before Release
"IT MIGHT LOSE TO A TOY" ā and the numbers keep falling. š© Collabs & partnerships: [email protected] James Gunn's entire plan to rebuild DC rests on this movie ā the second film of the new universe, the follow-up to Superman. And 11 days before release, the box office tracking just got cut AGAIN. Box Office Theory (June 13) cut its forecast ~10% to a $51M midpoint ($47-58M range). Box Office Pro lands at $45-55M ā sitting uneasily close to The Flash's $55M, and the low end lands just below the opening of The Marvels, one of the most infamous superhero flops ever. For context: Superman opened to $122M last July. Supergirl is tracking at less than HALF of that ā for the very next chapter in the same universe. And the production leaks explain why. Per TechTimes, an early January cut ran 2h05m (no credits); the final locked cut runs 1h47m WITH credits ā about 25 minutes carved out in five months. Ten-plus test screenings. Three different endings. Three different composers. That's not quality assurance ā that's a studio that didn't know what movie it had. The humiliation scenario: Toy Story 5 opens June 19, tracking $160M+ ā and its second weekend (right on top of Supergirl's opening) could pull $60-80M. Gunn's big relaunch movie could open in SECOND PLACE, behind a week-old Pixar sequel, and lose its IMAX screens before its first weekend ends. š„ The tracking cuts, outlet by outlet š„ The two flops it's now compared to š„ Less than half of Superman's opening š„ 10+ screenings, 3 endings, 25 minutes cut š„ The "beaten by a toy" math š„ The fair shake: presales 2.5x The Marvels, ~76% RT projection š„ The 3 numbers to watch on June 26 I'll be fair where the movie earns it. But the picture 11 days out is brutal ā and this was supposed to be the EASY one. š° Sources: Box Office Theory, Box Office Pro, Puck, TechTimes, Deadline, Cosmic Book News ā ļø Editorial commentary based on publicly reported pre-release tracking. Projections, not final results. Fair use applies under Section 107. š SUBSCRIBE ā the June 26 opening-weekend autopsy is coming š LIKE if you called the DCU relaunch a gamble š¬ COMMENT ā does Supergirl open above or below $50M? #Supergirl #DCU #JamesGunn #BoxOffice #CineWire
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