Israel Once Launched a War Against Iran. Why Is It Avoiding Direct Conflict? | John Mearsheimer

Israel Once Launched a War Against Iran. Why Is It Avoiding Direct Conflict? | John Mearsheimer In this section of the interview, Professor John Mearsheimer examines how the expanding U.S.-Iran conflict could reshape the balance of power across the Middle East. He argues that President Donald Trump's strategy of increasing military pressure on Iran is creating new regional risks rather than bringing the conflict closer to a resolution. A major focus of the discussion is the growing role of the Houthis and the possibility that further escalation could threaten vital maritime routes linking the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea. Mearsheimer explains that if attacks on Iran continue, Tehran and its regional partners could respond by targeting strategic energy infrastructure or disrupting international shipping, increasing pressure on global oil markets and international trade. He also analyzes Saudi Arabia's recent military actions in Yemen, questioning whether opening another front serves American or regional interests. According to Mearsheimer, expanding the conflict only increases the chances of a wider regional war while strengthening Iran's strategic position. He notes that previous U.S. military campaigns against the Houthis consumed large amounts of advanced weapons without producing decisive results, raising concerns about the long-term sustainability of continued military operations. The interview also explores Israel's changing role in the conflict. Mearsheimer argues that Israel has become more cautious about direct involvement after experiencing significant damage during previous exchanges with Iran. Instead, he believes Israel is focusing on Lebanon and Hezbollah while allowing the United States to bear most of the military burden against Tehran. Overall, Mearsheimer concludes that prolonging the U.S.-Iran war will increase economic and military costs, strengthen Iran's negotiating leverage, and make future diplomatic efforts more difficult. He suggests that continued escalation around the Strait of Hormuz could have serious consequences for regional security, global energy supplies, and international stability.