SK하이닉스 14% 급등 마감! 전문가들 "없으면 지금이라도 매수" (2026년 6월 25일 장 마감)｜성공투자 오후증시｜파이널콜

[00:05] Closing Market Summary and Key Points During Trading KOSPI Surges, KOSDAQ Falls (Deepening Polarization): Following the announcement of megaton-level strong earnings by Micron of the U.S., the KOSPI surged to the 8,930 level, triggering a buy-side circuit breaker during trading. In contrast, the KOSDAQ fell to the 880 level due to a concentration on semiconductors and pressure for interest rate hikes, showing a severe disparity. [01:26] Benefits from Foreign Visitors Surpassing 10 Million: Based on statistics showing a surge in foreign visitors during the first half of the year, domestic and consumer goods sectors such as department stores (Shinsegae), beauty devices and cosmetics (PharmaResearch), and casinos (Paradise) showed simultaneous strength. [02:54] [06:00] Final Call ①: Samsung Electronics & SK Hynix Strategies and 'SCA' Contract Analysis The Reality of the 'SCA' Launched by Micron: Unlike standard Long-Term Supply Agreements (LTAs), a highly binding, non-cancellable long-term contract (SCA) structure has been revealed, featuring set upper and lower price bands for supply. [08:50] For semiconductor companies, this is a powerful weapon that completely eliminates uncertainty during a downcycle and guarantees stable profits. [11:05] Strategy for Responding to the Two Top Companies: As industry leader Micron has achieved a margin of 84.9%, expectations for Samsung Electronics' preliminary earnings early next month and SK Hynix's earnings in the mid-to-late next month have grown even higher. Experts recommended utilizing the significant volatility to maintain a "buy at least a portion of the portfolio unconditionally during every correction" perspective. [09:40], [12:47] [13:18] Final Call ②: Diagnosis of the Restructuring of KOSDAQ Bio and Semiconductor Materials, Parts, and Equipment Pharmaceutical & Biotech Investor Sentiment Check: Although Alteogen is firmly maintaining its No. 1 position in market capitalization, the overall bio sector requires a conservative approach (individual earnings-driven market) to monitor trends until July rather than making additional purchases, as the trend of interest rate hikes remains. [15:23], [18:16] Potential for Market Restructuring Centered on Materials, Parts, and Equipment: While an atmosphere has formed for the KOSDAQ market to be restructured around profit-oriented semiconductor materials, parts, and equipment, there are risks associated with large conglomerates expanding their capacity (CAPA) and order restrictions. Therefore, a strategy of responding with rotational trading while thoroughly realizing profits during sharp rises (10–20%) is effective. [18:43] [19:49] Final Call ③: Top Picks for Airline, Securities, and Department Store Stocks Benefiting from Plunging Oil Prices Airline Stocks (Korean Air): As WTI oil prices have plummeted below $70 per barrel, spread gains are expected to be fully reflected in third-quarter operating profits. Coupled with the benefits of rising freight rates from the Middle East, a breakout from the trading range is expected once the high exchange rate risk subsides. [20:32] Securities Stocks (Korea Financial Group): Ahead of the July earnings season, an explosion in brokerage revenue is expected due to increased trading volume. Korea Financial Group is worth noting as it has confirmed support at the lower end of its trading range. [25:32], [26:10] Department Store Stocks (Shinsegae & Hyundai Department Store): The effect of the high exchange rate is causing domestic luxury goods and consumer products to feel cheaper to foreign tourists, leading to actual sales growth and leaving ample room for further upside. [27:01] [29:15] Closing Market Conditions and In-depth Sector Analysis Semiconductor: SK Hynix surged over 13% (attempting to reclaim the top spot in market capitalization) as positive catalysts were Micron CEO’s forecast that "memory supply shortages will persist beyond 2027" and SK Hynix’s announcement of shortening its US ADR listing schedule (to July 10). [30:19], [30:42] Securities: Earnings showed a clear trend of improvement driven by an upward revision of KOSPI targets and a surge in Q2 trading volume. A strong rebound was observed, centered on large-cap stocks (such as Kiwoom Securities) that have entered an undervalued zone. [32:17], [32:44] Aviation: Oil prices plummeted as expectations for the normalization of transit through the Strait of Hormuz were reflected following news of earnings negotiations between the US and Iran. Korean Air and Asiana Airlines staged a joint rally in the 6% range. [33:33] [35:31] Foreign Exchange Market Trends (Interview with Woori Bank Researcher Lim Han-yeol) Exchange Rate Trends: The rate approached 1,550 won during the session due to payment demand from importers and bets following a strong dollar, but stabilized at the 1,543 won level following a surge in the domestic stock market and a easing of selling pressure from foreign investors. A cauti...