El Nino Model Surges Again - Are we at the Tipping Point?

Stormsurf Video Surf Forecast (Episode #631) for the week starting Sunday, June 21st, 2026. Current marine conditions, short term forecast out 2 weeks including snow and precipitation forecasts, and the long term forecast going out a month to year or more for surf, snow and rain based on projections of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and ENSO (El Nino/La Nina). Click the 'Thumbs Up' icon if you liked the video. To subscribe to get an automatic notification when we post a new video just click the Stormsurf Icon down in the lower right hand corner of the screen. If you have question or an opinion - even if it's contrary to this weeks thesis - post a comment. We try to reply to every comment. Contributions always welcome. Use the 'Super Thanks' button (the Heart with the $ sign in it) to donate a few dollars. It is always appreciated. And visit our website at www.Stormsurf.com to follow along during the week to view all the details, including wave models, weather models, snow models, surf forecasts and so much more: http://www.stormsurf.com Thanks for watching! Contents of This Video 0:00 Introduction 2:26 Current Ocean Conditions 13:27 Pacific and Global Atmospheric, Oceanic and Surf Projections 31:07 Long Term Outlook 31:24 Equatorial Wind Conditions 38:30 MJO Forecasts 48:50 Equatorial Subsurface Water Temp Analysis 55:51 Equatorial Sea Surface Temp Analysis 1:02:25 Atmospheric SOI/Pressure Analysis 1:05:15 ENSO Analysis 1:10:47 Summary 1:16:57 Credits