Texas July 4 Forecast: Hot, Mostly Dry, A Few Storms

Summertime, summertime. Texas is hot, July is here, and the big question is: how does the Fourth of July forecast look? This Thursday Texas Weather Roundup covers the July 4 forecast, today’s sea-breeze storm chances, monsoonal storms in West Texas and the Big Bend, and increasing pop-up storm chances Sunday into early next week. For today and Friday, the main weather issue will be scattered pop-up showers and thunderstorms across East Texas, the ArkLaTex, Southeast Texas, the Golden Triangle, and the Middle and Upper Texas Coast. This activity is tied to the sea breeze moving inland. These storms should be disorganized and short-lived, but they may produce: • Lightning • Brief heavy rain • Gusty winds • Outflow boundaries that move away from storms Those outflow boundaries can be a concern for folks on area lakes, bays, and outdoor events, even if the storm itself is not directly overhead. Western Texas will be less active than the last few days, but some monsoonal storms remain possible across the Permian Basin, Davis Mountains, Big Bend, Trans-Pecos, and Far West Texas. For July 4, most of Texas looks dry. A few isolated to widely scattered showers or storms are possible during the day, mainly in Northeast Texas and perhaps a couple of other spots. Saturday evening may bring a rogue storm in the northwestern Panhandle or a stray shower elsewhere, but rain chances are low overall. That means widespread problems for outdoor events and fireworks are not expected right now. It will be hot, though. Many areas will be in the mid 90s to low 100s Saturday afternoon. By fireworks time Saturday evening, most of Texas will still be in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Rain chances increase Sunday into Monday as the upper-level heat dome weakens. Scattered summertime pop-up showers and storms may develop across more of Texas, especially East Texas, Southeast Texas, North Texas, the Big Country, the Panhandle, West Texas, and the Big Bend. This does not look like an organized severe weather or flooding setup. It is more of a classic summer pattern: pop-up storms that build quickly, produce a downpour, lightning, gusty winds, and then rain themselves out. The bottom line: July 4 looks hot and mostly dry for most of Texas. Isolated storms are possible, but most outdoor plans should be okay. Better scattered storm chances return Sunday into early next week. In this Texas Weather Roundup: • Thursday Texas weather update • July 4 forecast for Texas • Sea-breeze storm chances today and Friday • East Texas, Southeast Texas and coastal pop-up storms • Monsoonal storms in West Texas and the Big Bend • Saturday rain chances • Fireworks-time temperature forecast • Sunday and Monday storm chances increasing • Texas heat forecast through the holiday weekend • New Texas Storm Chasers website and app update mention Track storms anytime: TexasStormChasers.com/radar Get local forecasts, radar, alerts, daily Texas Weather Roundups, and more in the free Texas Storm Chasers app. You can also visit: TexasStormChasers.com or TSCWX.com Where are you watching from for the Fourth? Drop your city or county and let us know your plans, how hot it feels, and whether you get a pop-up storm this weekend. Chapters: 0:00 July 4 forecast and summer weather 0:16 Thursday Texas Weather Roundup 0:40 Sea-breeze storms today and Friday 1:26 West Texas and Big Bend monsoon storms 1:50 Heat dome pattern through the weekend 2:58 Pop-up storms increase Sunday into Monday 3:50 July 4 rain chances 4:27 Sunday and Monday storm chances 5:14 Five-day rain outlook 5:43 Texas temperature forecast 6:34 July 4 heat and fireworks-time forecast 7:21 Sunday and Monday heat with storm chances 8:13 Final holiday weekend outlook #TexasWeather #TexasStormChasers #July4th