“Krım körpüsü bu ay vurulacaq, Krımdan qaçın”: Ruslar HƏYACAN TƏBİLİ ÇALIR

All last month, I've been pointing out that it's only June. And for good reason. People like to think in months. And it's clear to me that July is the month when the problems in Crimea will escalate into a full-blown humanitarian crisis. Journalist Michael Naki writes about this in his blog . Crimea is completely open to Ukrainian attacks. That's why I'm so infuriated by people trying to calm Crimeans and telling them this is all a media attack and will soon pass. It won't pass, it's not a media attack. The large military base that Russia has turned Crimea into will be cut off from power and paralyzed. Madyar shows 13 attacks on energy infrastructure in the first TWO DAYS of July. I think the Crimean Bridge will be damaged this month, and most likely soon. I think the Crimean Bridge will be damaged this month, and most likely soon. I can't tell people to "get out of Crimea" anymore. It's difficult to do now, and there are risks, since the only remaining route is the Crimean Bridge.Now I just want to convey a simple message to the residents of Crimea: don't ignore emergency signals and monitoring channels. Find out where shelters are, learn the two-wall rule. And don't panic, but stock up on essentials.The situation in occupied Crimea is rapidly deteriorating: there is no gasoline, food supplies are disrupted, and businesses are going bankrupt. A social upheaval is brewing on the peninsula. Russian Z-blogger Alexander Gorny spoke frankly about this. Gorny predicted what awaits Crimea in the coming month. He expects the situation to worsen. "The fuel situation will worsen, despite the fact that they've started selling fuel at 200-350 rubles per liter. Production and distribution chains will be disrupted, some won't be able to get to work, and many will be laid off or furloughed. A rash of bankruptcies and collapses of tourism infrastructure facilities and entities will ensue. Inflation will continue to rise, and the range of goods will shrink, leading to a decline in quality of life amid falling consumer demand due to a lack of income," Gorny wrote.The Z-patriot believes that a social explosion will break out in Crimea, which the Kremlin will suppress using force. "Open public discontent will begin, which will require the introduction of external control or forceful solutions. It will be especially difficult in the fall, if the crisis doesn't stabilize, when people's resources run out, and winter is approaching," Gorny said. He stated that if the Kremlin fails to resolve the problem with Ukraine, his forecast will "seem like a piece of cake." The Russian Federation held a command and staff military exercise, "Crimean Reveille," during which a scenario was practiced for the possible landing of units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in occupied Crimea. This was reported by Russian military expert, retired colonel Viktor Murakhovsky, writes The Insider .According to him, during the exercises, reserve and retired officers simulated the actions of two sides: the simulated enemy used modern reconnaissance and combat equipment, while the defending side practiced repelling an attack. As The Insider notes, Murakhovsky attached a map of Crimea to his publication, outlining possible offensive routes from the northwestern Black Sea and the Odessa region, as well as a diagram of Russian troops' defenses around Sevastopol, Kerch, and other areas of the peninsula. According to the publication, the scenario envisioned not a classic amphibious operation, but a modern, rapid, combined-arms campaign using drones, high-precision long-range weapons, and high-speed boats.