Уроки Сирии и Ливана для стран Южного Кавказа

In the new episode of "Kavkaza News," we speak with Ruslan Suleimanov about Syria, Lebanon, and the lessons the countries of the South Caucasus can learn from the recent history of the Middle East. Syria after the fall of the Assad regime: the return of refugees, the transition period, the new government, the issue of elections, autonomy, and security. Why is the thesis of "Turkey's complete control over Syria" oversimplified? What role does Russia retain through its bases in Khmeimim and Tartus? Why are the new authorities in Damascus engaging in dialogue with Israel, and why does a full-fledged peace still seem unlikely? A separate section on Lebanon: war, Hezbollah, Iranian influence, the weakness of state institutions, the role of France, the Maronites, and the Armenian community. Finally, we discuss the main question: what should the South Caucasus and Azerbaijan learn from the experience of Syria and Lebanon—and why internal conflicts must be resolved before they escalate into war. 00:00 Introduction Ruslan Suleimanov and a new expert organization 03:38 Syria after Assad: Personal impressions and the return of refugees 08:16 Transition period: Elections, dictatorship, or a new model of government 11:01 Centralization versus autonomies: Kurds, Alawites, Druze, and the risk of collapse 16:05 Iran, Hezbollah, and ISIS: Why security remains Syria's main problem 19:10 Julani / al-Sharaa: The transformation of a leader and the disappointment of revolutionaries 24:29 Syria and Turkey: Why Damascus is not just Ankara's puppet 30:10 Syria and Israel: Negotiations, de-escalation, and the role of Baku 34:19 Russia in Syria after Assad: Khmeimim, Tartus, and a new chapter in relations 38:59 Lebanon after the war: Hezbollah, Iran, Israel, and the weakness of the state 46:46 Is there a way out for Lebanon: Negotiations, a ceasefire, and Restoration 50:03 The Armenian Factor in Lebanon and Israel's Recognition of the Armenian Genocide 54:11 The Main Lesson of Syria and Lebanon for the South Caucasus Support the channel: ❤️ Patreon:   / gelavasadze   💳 PayPal: paypal.me/gelavasadze and by subscribing to VPN Caucasus https://t.me/vpnvolkbot?start=YT Thank you for your trust and support