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CONTACT GRISELDA AT LEGACY INSURANCE. THE FIRST CALL IS FREE: 754-232-2780 JOBS COOL DOWN IN THE US AND THE FED GAINS MORE TIME The US economy showed signs of cooling in June. According to the employment report, non-farm payrolls increased by only 57,000 jobs, well below expectations and also below the revised figure for May. The unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, but not necessarily due to a stronger economy, but rather because fewer people joined the workforce. Furthermore, the data for April and May were revised downward, showing that the labor market was weaker than previously thought. WHERE JOBS WERE GAINED AND LOST The professional and business services sector added jobs. There was also growth in social assistance and healthcare. But the hardest hit sector was leisure and hospitality, which lost 61,000 jobs. This is worrying because this sector is typically important during the summer. Wages rose 0.3% in the month and 3.5% year-on-year, but with inflation still high, many families are not feeling any real relief. WHAT IT MEANS FOR THE FED This report reduces the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise rates immediately. Kevin Warsh has said that employment remains stable, but he also insists that inflation is still too high and must return to 2%. In short: If employment cools, the Fed can wait. But if inflation doesn't come down, it won't be in any hurry to cut rates. IRAN WOULD ACCEPT NUCLEAR INSPECTIONS On the international front, talks on Iran continue. Reports indicate that Tehran would be willing to accept nuclear inspections as part of the agreement, although some details remain to be finalized. For the United States, this point is key. Without real inspections, Washington will not consider Iran to be in compliance. Meanwhile, oil fell to around $67 a barrel, a sign that markets see less immediate risk in the Strait of Hormuz. But any breakdown of the agreement could quickly change prices. RUSSIA BOMBS KYIV The other international crisis is in Ukraine. Russia launched one of its largest recent offensives against Kyiv, with hundreds of drones and dozens of missiles. Reports indicate at least 20 dead and dozens wounded. The attack damaged residential buildings, infrastructure, and even medical facilities. Poland activated preemptive air operations due to Russian military activity near its regional airspace. UKRAINE RESPONDS AGAINST RUSSIAN INFRASTRUCTURE Meanwhile, Ukraine has intensified long-range attacks against energy infrastructure inside Russia. Recent targets include a refinery in Ufa and a factory linked to military components. Zelensky claims this campaign aims to weaken Russia's capacity to sustain war. THE SUMMARY The United States shows signs of a cooling job market. The Fed gains room to wait before moving rates. Oil prices fall as Iran negotiates inspections. And Russia escalates again with a massive attack on Kyiv. For families, all of this boils down to one question: Will inflation fall without the economy weakening too much? #USJobs #BLS #USEconomy #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #Inflation #InterestRates #Iran #Oil #Hormuz #Russia #Ukraine #Kyiv #Zelensky #USNews