Summer offensive, autumn ultimatum: how Kyiv prepares to dismantle Russia's leverage...

Ukraine is preparing for negotiations this fall! Significant pressure is being applied to Russia on two fronts simultaneously—military and diplomatic. According to media reports, Kyiv hopes to weaken the Kremlin’s position as much as possible this summer so that it can approach potential negotiations this fall with stronger arguments. Particular emphasis is being placed on Crimea, Russian logistics, and military infrastructure. At the same time, the Ukrainian government is stepping up diplomatic contacts with Western partners and sending signals to Moscow regarding the future negotiation process. Meanwhile, Europe is already discussing a new round of talks involving Ukraine and Russia. London, Paris, and Berlin are seeking mechanisms to exert additional pressure on the Kremlin and are also preparing new sanctions. Will the fall of 2026 be the moment when attempts are made to force Russia into serious negotiations? We break down all the details, statements, and possible scenarios.