Prof. Dr. Ercan: Marmara, 2,5 metre Yunanistan'a kayacak

Geophysical engineer Prof. Dr. Övgün Ahmet Ercan stated that a Northern Marmara fault passes through the Sea of ​​Marmara, saying, "The second branch, which we call the Tekirdağ earthquake, will occur along this fault. The expected epicenter of the Tekirdağ branch will be 10-15 kilometers offshore from Marmara Ereğlisi. It will erupt in the granite layer within 10-15 kilometers of the sea, producing an east-west eruption. At the same time, there will be a 1-1.5-meter collapse, and the Marmara Sea will slide 2-2.5 meters toward Greece. If you ask what the magnitude of this earthquake will be, it will be 7.2. This earthquake will be very large." Geophysical engineer Prof. Dr. Övgün Ahmet Ercan, who was vacationing in the Şarköy district of Tekirdağ, was caught in the 4.1 magnitude earthquake that occurred off the coast of Şarköy on September 9th. Ercan, who stated that they expected the earthquake to occur in the mountains, not at sea, said, "The North Anatolian fault line emerges from approximately where Uçmakdere is located, in the Ayvasıl area. From there, it goes past Mursallı, where Güzelköy is located, to Gölcük, from Gölcük to Çokal Dam, and from there to the Gulf of Saros. Scientists normally assumed it would rupture again. But the recent earthquake showed us that there's a surprise." "MARMARA WILL SLIDE 2.5 METERS TOWARDS GREECE" Ercan stated that the earthquake will travel through the sea, not the mountains, saying, "A Northern Marmara fault passes through the sea. The second branch, which we call the Tekirdağ earthquake, will occur along this fault. The expected epicenter of the Tekirdağ branch will be 10-15 kilometers offshore from Marmara Ereğlisi. It will erupt in the granite layer within 10-15 kilometers of the sea, producing an east-west eruption. At the same time, there will be a 1-1.5-meter collapse, and the Marmara Sea will slide 2-2.5 meters toward Greece. If you ask what the magnitude of this earthquake will be, it will be 7.2. This earthquake will be very large. If you ask where and where this earthquake will rupture, it will start from Büyükçekmece, pass through Marmara Ereğlisi, cut through Mürefte in front of Uçmakdere, through Şarköy in front of Hoşköy, and through the Gelibolu Peninsula from Şarköy, "It will enter the Gulf of Saros. From there, it will go all the way to Thessaloniki," he said. "THE ANATOLIAN PENINSULA WILL SHIFT TOWARDS THE AEGEAN" Prof. Dr. Ahmet Övgün Ercan, stating that the earthquake he was talking about was the western part of the Northern Marmara earthquakes, said, "There is also an eastern part of this. The eastern branch is Istanbul. It is constantly referred to as the 'great Istanbul earthquake.' In fact, the earthquake is the great Istanbul and Tekirdağ earthquake. Now, the earthquake that will occur in front of Istanbul will be in the form of a rupture approximately 20-25 kilometers south of Küçükçekmece. As a result of this rupture, the ground will slide approximately 1 to 1.5 meters westward. In other words, the Anatolian Peninsula will slide towards the Aegean. So, if you ask what the magnitude of the earthquake will be, the magnitude will be between 6.3 and 6.7. The duration of this earthquake in front of Istanbul will be approximately 16 to 18 seconds, but the earthquake in front of Tekirdağ will last approximately 30-35 seconds. Therefore, if you ask which of these is more dangerous, both will be dangerous. For example, Istanbul has a high density. There are approximately 2,568 people per square kilometer in Istanbul. But when you go west, where the Tekirdağ branch is located, there will be approximately "There are 200 people living in each district. In other words, in Istanbul, the population density is high, but the earthquake is smaller, but the death toll is higher. When you come to the Tekirdağ branch, because of the lower population density, even if the earthquake is large, the damage it will cause is less. Therefore, we can survive these earthquakes completely without any fatalities or destruction," he said. "IT HAS THE MOST CONTEMPORARY EARTHQUAKE REGULATION" Ercan, stating that the Republic of Turkey has always been criticized, said, "But it also has its positive aspects. The earthquake regulation was changed in 2007, but it was not well-received. A new earthquake regulation was issued in 2017. Currently, the earthquake regulation is the most modern regulation in the world. What matters is not what's written there; what matters is what you implement. Urban transformation is the only solution in an earthquake, but our people generally engage in structural transformation. That is, they demolish and rebuild. This is not urban transformation. If you ask what needs to happen, for example, the buildings in Mürefte, which are about to be completely demolished, need to be demolished, replanned, and rebuilt. The buildings in Şarköy need to be redesigned. The buildings in Istanbul need to be redesigned. The buildings in Tekirdağ need to be re...