SpaceX IPO: Market Hype vs. The Brutal Reality

SpaceX goes public on June 12th and nobody knows what happens next. Tim Knight went back through history to find the closest analogs and the results are not all bullish. Google hit its IPO and never looked back. Facebook plunged 60% in the months after. Blackstone lost 90% of its value. The difference every time was the same: market context, hype level, and insider selling. Right now the market is more expensive than the dot-com bubble by every metric. CBRS came out at $115, opened near $400, and is already down 40%. Insider lockups for SpaceX begin in August with the biggest unlock tied to the second earnings release around November. ETFs will be forced to buy early, which creates a demand floor. But a lot of very rich people are going to want to sell. That push and pull is the whole story. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 0:00 SpaceX IPO on June 12th: what we know 1:00 Three factors that drive every IPO 1:45 Cisco: the best case scenario 2:30 Blackstone: wrong time wrong market 3:30 Google: the perfect IPO setup 4:45 Facebook: hype creates the crash 6:30 CBRS: the most recent warning 7:30 What makes SpaceX different 8:30 Insider lockup schedule explained 10:30 Institutional buying vs insider selling #SpaceX #SpaceXIPO #SPCX #ElonMusk #IPO #StockMarket #TimKnight #tastylive tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.