The Great Liquidity Debate | Michael Howell & George Robertson on The Fed & Moneyprinting

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus. __ Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital and George Robertson of The Monetary Fronteir have two things in common: they both correctly predicted the renewed bull market in stocks and they both have been guests on The Forward Guidance podcast. That is where the similarities end, as Michael and George have entirely different explanations for what is driving the surge in equity prices. While Michael is renowned for his models on Global Liquidity and closely tracks the changes in central bank balance sheets (most notably the Fed’s), George dismisses the Fed entirely and thinks that monetary authorities have effectively zero influence on the economy and stock market. What ensues is a heated debate not just about what is driving the stock market and economy but about the very nature of money and credit creation itself. Recorded on April 10, 2024. __ Follow VanEck on Twitter   / vaneck_us   Follow Michael Howell on Twitter   / crossbordercap   Follow George Robertson on Twitter   / bickerinbrattle   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter   / jackfarley96   Michael’s Substack https://t.co/7jRGW9iR0S George’s Substack https://themonetaryfrontier.substack.... Michael’s Book https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-R... Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter   / forwardguidance   Follow Blockworks on Twitter   / blockworks_   __ Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 00:32 Jack's Intro 02:28 Michael's Opening Statement 06:09 George's Opening Statement 18:17 The Draining of The Fed's Reverse Repo (RRP) Facility 24:59 VanEck Ad 26:03 28:38 The Portfolio Rebalancing Theory (I.E. How Quantitative Easing (QE) Theoretically Works) 45:21 Duration Impact of U.S. Treasury Issuing Longer-Maturity Paper 51:39 Spread Between Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Yield And 10-Year Treasury Yield 01:12:09 There's A Distortion In The Yield Curve, That's For Sure" 01:17:47 Beyond The Fed's Balance Sheet 01:23:18 Jack's Comment On Cause And Effect 01:25:07 Views On Markets: George And Michael Remain Very Bullish __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.