人はなぜ見積りを失敗するのか。失敗の本質は○○【見積り1】#44

This is the new series, "The Science of Estimation." We'll explain how to view estimation as a science, including topics like "Estimation is a field where researchers publish papers," "The excuse for making a mistake in an estimate is, 'I estimated using DeMarco's definition,'" and "People estimate to look cool." [Table of Contents] 00:00 New Series "The Science of Estimation" 06:46 In fact, professionals are studying estimation. 10:04 Horimoto is always the same. 14:45 A memorable syllogism. 18:22 Mizuno takes a surprise quiz! 25:14 How many questions did Mizuno get right? 31:40 How many questions did you get right? 36:00 Why do human estimates fail? 43:32 Check back next week to learn how to estimate correctly. [References] ○ Software Estimation https://amzn.to/3Whb90T → This is the main book of this series. Written with a light and enjoyable style by an expert estimator. Easy to read even for non-engineers. ○The Essence of Failure https://amzn.to/3zmRhzx ○Mastering TCP/IP: An Introduction https://amzn.to/3U2Qk7a ○Why People Are Late to Appointments Thinking about the causes of behavior through simple questions https://amzn.to/3Fsincd Why do humans procrastinate? https://amzn.to/3ffq1Mz [Join the supporter community here] https://yurugengo.com/support [Parent Channel: Yuru Linguistics Radio]    / @yurugengo   [Franchise Project: Yuru Student House]    / @yurugakuto   [Letters Form] https://forms.gle/BLEZpLcdEPmoZTH4A ※We look forward to receiving your fun letters! [Click here to request work!] [email protected] [Profile of Motomi Hori] Graduated from the Faculty of Science and Technology, Keio University. Specializes in information engineering. He makes a living by creating and distributing content on the web. His current main source of income is his paid note magazine, which he writes about insults about people in an academic way. Twitter →   / kenhori2   Note Magazine → https://note.com/kenhori2/m/m125fc452... Personal YouTube →    / @kenhorimoto   [Mizuno Taiki Profile] Graduated from the School of Letters at Nagoya University. His specialty is linguistics. Works as an editor at a major publishing company. While one might think his knowledge of linguistics is useful in his day job, that's not the case. #Estimate #EasyComputerScienceRadio

見積りは1点で出すな。確率で出せ。【見積り2】#45
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見積りは1点で出すな。確率で出せ。【見積り2】#45

機械が苦手なのにコンピュータ科学を専攻しちゃう悲劇【おたより回】#146
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機械が苦手なのにコンピュータ科学を専攻しちゃう悲劇【おたより回】#146

ビルゲイツ著「Source Code 起動」知らない人に内容予想させたらw
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ビルゲイツ著「Source Code 起動」知らない人に内容予想させたらw

科学はなぜ不正を生むのか?#34
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科学はなぜ不正を生むのか?#34

Ask an expert about mathematical models as a tool for understanding the world. [Mathematical Mode...
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Ask an expert about mathematical models as a tool for understanding the world. [Mathematical Mode...

Is Design Sense Just Talent?
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Is Design Sense Just Talent?

【炎上、誹謗中傷、赤字】この先に幸せはある?【積読チャンネル・1日密着】
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【炎上、誹謗中傷、赤字】この先に幸せはある?【積読チャンネル・1日密着】

I went to the hospital because I couldn't hear out of my right ear. The diagnosis was...?
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I went to the hospital because I couldn't hear out of my right ear. The diagnosis was...?

【研究者の結論】野球の本質はストッキングで分かる。#48
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【研究者の結論】野球の本質はストッキングで分かる。#48

陰謀論に勝つ方法、教えます。
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陰謀論に勝つ方法、教えます。

Video of a physicist (prospective) shooting down quantum computer non-players [Quantum Computer 1...
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Video of a physicist (prospective) shooting down quantum computer non-players [Quantum Computer 1...

リスナーのあるあるが高度すぎて共感できない【おたより読む回】#47
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リスナーのあるあるが高度すぎて共感できない【おたより読む回】#47

「話せばわかる」は本当なのか?
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「話せばわかる」は本当なのか?

フェイクニュースはなぜ消えないのか?
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フェイクニュースはなぜ消えないのか?

四季報がおもしろすぎる。炎上対策の会社が上場してるの?#371
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四季報がおもしろすぎる。炎上対策の会社が上場してるの?#371

「アレルギー」という超難問。専門家も定義すらできない。#60
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「アレルギー」という超難問。専門家も定義すらできない。#60

Is it true that having a goal can increase your annual income by 20 times? A thorough investigati...
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Is it true that having a goal can increase your annual income by 20 times? A thorough investigati...

Learn English grammar to avoid fruitless conflicts!
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Learn English grammar to avoid fruitless conflicts!

【必見】量子コンピュータは速いの?正しい答えはこれだ!【量子コンピュータ2】#57
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【必見】量子コンピュータは速いの?正しい答えはこれだ!【量子コンピュータ2】#57

ビリヤードの先端が、純金より高価ってどういうこと?【うんちくエウレーカクイズ】#245
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ビリヤードの先端が、純金より高価ってどういうこと?【うんちくエウレーカクイズ】#245