UKRAINA ATAKUJE REZYDENCJĘ PUTINA? Pretekst do Eskalacji? | Analiza Tygodnia #20 dr. Leszek Sykulski

In the latest Weekly Analysis, Dr. Leszek Sykulski and I discuss three events that are significantly increasing global risk and could shift the balance of power in the coming months. The first topic is the alleged drone attack on Vladimir Putin's residence. Was Ukraine even capable of carrying out such an operation? Did Russia deliberately admit to the incident to create a pretext for escalation or the breakdown of peace talks? We analyze who benefits from this narrative, why striking a facility linked to nuclear command is extremely risky, and what response Russia might realistically consider – from using hypersonic weapons to entering the next phase of the war, including attempting to cut Ukraine off from the Black Sea and putting pressure on Odessa. The second topic is further threats against Iran. Following Donald Trump's meeting with Benjamin Netanyahu, further attacks on Tehran are being announced. We discuss who is bluffing in this conflict and who is actually preparing for the second phase of the war, why American intelligence reports are being ignored, and how Israel is exploiting the events since October 7th to crack down on the so-called Shiite resistance axis. The third topic is Israel's recognition of Somaliland. Why did this move come now and what geopolitical significance does it have? We explain the role of the Gulf of Aden and the port of Berbera, and we analyze emerging concepts for resettling Palestinians from the Gaza Strip. We show why recognizing Somaliland could open a Pandora's box of separatist conflicts in Africa and the Middle East and harm the interests of Turkey and Saudi Arabia. This episode is about escalation, war pretexts, and the progressive disintegration of the principles of international law – without emotion, but without illusions. Dr. Channel Leszek Sykulski    / @leszek_sykulski   Academy of Geopolitics    / @akademiageopolityki   --- PODCASTERSI: Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/5ZcQBnw... Instagram   / podcastersi   TikTok   / podcastersi_podcast   attack on Putin's residence, drone attack on Putin, Putin drones, drones over Russia, escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia-Ukraine war analysis, third phase of the Ukraine war, 2025 Ukraine war, Russian offensive, Odessa Black Sea, Putin Military response, Russia's hypersonic weapons, Oreshnik Russia, Russia's nuclear doctrine, Ukraine's command centers, global war risk, Iran Israel war, Iran Israel conflict analysis, Trump Netanyahu Iran, attack on Iran, Iran's nuclear program, Israel Middle East escalation, second phase of the war with Iran, Gaza Strip war, Palestinian resettlement, Palestinian relocation, ethnic cleansing Gaza, Israel Palestine conflict, Somaliland Israel recognition, Somaliland geopolitics, Africa Middle East, Gulf of Aden importance, Red Sea conflict, Houthis Israel Iran, separatism Africa, destabilization of the Middle East, international politics 2025, world geopolitics, geopolitical analysis, geopolitical analysis of the week, international news, war and peace, global security, new world order, crisis of international law, international relations analysis, Leszek Sykulski, Dr. Leszek Sykulski analysis, Sykulski geopolitics, geopolitical podcast, political podcast, podcastersi, podcastersi analysis of the week