Первый удар после войны! Трамп понял, что проиграл Ирану?

🌍 The war is over—but has peace really arrived? In this episode, we examine the events that occurred immediately after the ceasefire between the US and Iran was announced. This includes the initial strike on a merchant vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, new negotiations between Washington and Tehran, a shift in American strategy, and the role of Israel, Lebanon, and the Persian Gulf states. ⚖️ Why is the US focusing on negotiations instead of further pressure? What does the emergence of a direct line of communication between the US military and the IRGC mean? Why is Israel increasingly finding itself outside key negotiations? And is Iran capable of using peace to strengthen its position? 📌 We examine not only the latest events but also their potential implications for the entire Middle East. 💬 Share your opinion in the comments. Do you agree that diplomacy may prove more complex than war itself? Arkady Mil-Man is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Russia Program at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS). https://www.inss.org.il/ Former Israeli Ambassador to the Russian Federation. 🔴 Subscribe to stay up-to-date with important analysis! ⏰ 00:00:00 Post-ceasefire attack: How the IRGC struck a Singapore ship in the Strait of Hormuz ⏰ 00:01:38 J.D. Vance's secret channel: Why US generals are now coordinating with the IRGC ⏰ 00:03:04 Israel out of the game: How Jerusalem was pushed away from the main negotiating table ⏰ 00:03:37 Trump's electoral fear: Why gas prices are more important to the White House than defeating Iran ⏰ 00:05:35 The memorandum's main weakness: How Tehran turned Armuz into a tool of blackmail ⏰ 00:06:42 The Arab monarchies' ultimatum: Marco Rubio and the Gulf states' tough demands ⏰ 00:08:41 A trap for Washington: Why Iran will take economic benefits but retain nuclear power program ⏰ 00:09:30 Air defense bypassing the US: Gulf countries urgently build their own security architecture ⏰ 00:10:48 How Lebanon became a bargaining chip and "political insurance" in the US-Iran deal ⏰ 00:12:16 Secret reports: How Iranian Quds Force officers seized control of Hezbollah ⏰ 00:13:39 Split strategies: Why large-scale IDF strikes on Beirut have begun to irritate the White House ⏰ 00:15:35 A bitter conclusion for Israel: Hezbollah is getting a legitimate chance for full recovery ⏰ 00:17:00 Mossad intelligence warns: Why the US and Israel view the crisis through different prisms ⏰ 00:18:25 Fear of 90-million-strong chaos: What uncomfortable questions Trump asks for the "day after" Iran ⏰ 00:19:17 The Chinese Century: Why the Pentagon is rushing to close the Middle East front for Taiwan ⏰ 00:20:09 Kushnerism vs. Khomeinism: Thomas Friedman on the clash of two irreconcilable philosophies in the region ⏰ 00:21:00 "Revolution is not for cheap melons" - why Trump is deeply mistaken in his calculations on the Iranian elite ⏰ 00:23:27 The results of post-war chaos: a diplomatic game that turned out to be more complex than the war itself #MilMan #Arkady_MilMan #Israel #Russia #ABCs_of_geopolitics