【米農家の絶望】インフレで資材高騰なのに…なぜ今年「米の買取価格」が暴落するのか？

Despite inflation driving up the prices of fertilizers, fuels, and machinery, the estimated price for 2026 rice may decrease. This video explains the harsh reality of the "cost-and-estimate price scissors" currently facing rice farmers. [Timestamps] ▼ Video Contents 00:00 Opening 01:10 Chapter 1: Fertilizers, fuels, and machinery all rise in price: Why are agricultural costs continuing to rise? 04:53 Chapter 2: Reasons why the estimated price for 2026 rice may decrease, and what has the government been doing for the past three years? 11:01 Chapter 3: Costs remain high, but estimated prices fall: This "scissors" directly impacts farmers. 12:49 Chapter 4: Elderly farmers are retiring one after another: What will happen to Japan's rice fields? 15:53 ​​Summary This video explains the harsh economic situation surrounding rice farmers in 2026 through four themes. Chapter 1 outlines why the costs of fertilizer, fuel, and agricultural machinery continue to rise due to the effects of the weak yen, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the situation in the Middle East. According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, fertilizer costs for 2022-2023 increased by 28% compared to the previous year. Fuel, pesticides, and petroleum-derived products such as seedling trays have also all seen price increases, directly impacting farmers' businesses. Chapter 2 explains why, while the estimated price for the 2025 harvest was at a record high (around 26,000-30,000 yen per bale of Koshihikari rice), the price for the 2026 harvest may decrease. A bumper crop has resulted in private stockpiles reaching 3.29 million tons (the highest in the last 10 years), and coupled with a decline in rice consumption, supply and demand are loosening. Furthermore, this chapter reviews the government's agricultural policies over the past three years—strengthening rice production reductions, the "Reiwa Rice Riot," the massive release of stockpiled rice and extension of buyback rules, and the withdrawal of production increase policies—from a farmer's perspective. Chapter 3 uses data showing that the production cost of 2024 rice was 15,814 yen per bale to numerically examine how rising costs and falling estimated sales are putting pressure on farmers' businesses. It also explains that small-scale farmers (1-3 hectares) face a cost of 17,781 yen per bale, highlighting the structural risk of deficits. Chapter 4 addresses the reality that the average age of rice farmers is 71.1 years, addressing the accelerating departure of elderly farmers, the increase in abandoned farmland, and the worsening shortage of successors. It also discusses the risk of regional agricultural infrastructure collapsing due to the stagnation of large-scale farming caused by soaring machinery costs. [Editor's Note] While creating this video, I was once again struck by the harsh reality of the situation faced by rice farmers. Costs continue to rise, and estimated sales are on the decline. I have the utmost respect for the farmers who continue to protect their rice paddies despite these circumstances. I made this video because I wanted to help everyone understand "why things are the way they are." I believe that understanding the current situation will lead to the next step. [Channel General Information] This channel features Tome-san, who is currently studying rice farming, explaining what he has researched in an easy-to-understand way. Farmers and those interested in agriculture are all welcome to subscribe and watch! YouTube Channel:    / @tano41com   Business Inquiries: https://forms.gle/xGssx42FRMg1yJRD7 #ricefarming #ricecultivation #estimatedmoney #agriculture #inflation