PRIO3: comprar, manter ou vender depois de Wahoo?

Is PRIO3 still worth it? What to do after the oil price surge? Is PRIO3 still worth it after the recent surge? In this video, I provide a complete analysis of PRIO, looking at the impact of the Wahoo field, the oil price surge, geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and the company's current multiples. PRIO is one of the most efficient companies in the Brazilian oil sector, with a very clear growth strategy through the acquisition of mature fields, operational efficiency gains, and cash reinvestment. But after the stock appreciation, many investors are wondering: Is PRIO3 still an opportunity, or has the market already priced in a good portion of this growth? In this video, you will understand: • The impact of the war in the Middle East on oil • How rising oil prices could affect PRIO • How much production Wahoo could add to the company • Why PRIO has grown so much in recent years • Whether PRIO3's multiples are stretched • What to do if you already have PRIO3 in your portfolio • Whether it still makes sense to buy PRIO3 now • Why price discipline is essential in growth companies My view is straightforward: PRIO remains an excellent company with a very strong growth thesis, but that doesn't mean buying at any price. Those who already have a position need to understand the percentage in their portfolio and the company's role within their strategy. Those who don't yet have a position need to assess whether it makes sense to buy now or wait for a better opportunity. This video is not an individual buy or sell recommendation. It is an educational analysis to help you make better decisions and understand the risks and opportunities behind PRIO3. If you want to invest better, build a more efficient portfolio, and stop making impulsive decisions, learn about Notorius Wealth's work. ⬇️ Get my honest opinion about your portfolio https://notoriusinvestimentos.com.br/ ⬇️ Notorius Top Picks https://consultoria.notoriusinvestime... [00:00:00] – Introduction: Analysis of the decision to buy, hold, or sell PRIO3 shares in the current scenario. [00:00:20] – Geopolitical Context: The diplomatic impasse between the United States and Iran, naval blockades, and the direct impacts on the oil sector. [00:02:00] – Strait of Hormuz: Data on the reduction in ship traffic and historical comparison with other oil supply shocks (1973, 1980, and the invasion of Ukraine). [00:03:13] – Global Stocks and Projections: Scenarios for world oil reserves if the conflict extends until May or June. [00:04:14] – Oil Barrel Price: Price projections (base and adverse scenarios) and the "butter vs. margarine" analogy to explain demand substitution. [00:06:57] – Investment Thesis in PRIO: Focus on mature fields, the start of operations at the Wahoo field (25% increase in daily production), and the reinvestment strategy instead of dividends. [00:08:58] – Multiple Analysis: Evaluation of current EV/EBITDA and P/E ratios compared to the company's historical averages (identification of stretched multiples). [00:09:38] – Buy and Hold Philosophy: Historical price perspective since 2021 and the importance of focusing on long-term operational results instead of just charts. [00:12:40] – Strategy for existing shareholders: How to manage the weight of the position in the portfolio, rebalancing, and creating an opportunity reserve. [00:14:32] – Strategy for new investors: Explanation of DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) and the importance of recurring contributions to reduce market timing risk.