코로나 종식 예측 그래프, 어떻게 만드는걸까? (SIR 모델, 전염병 모델)

[ENG SUB] This video was created to explain the mathematical principles of the SIR model, which is most commonly used to predict infectious diseases. Most of the epidemic charts you see in news are SIRS, SEIR, SEIQR and SIRS, which are variants of the SIR model. As the Corona 19 virus becomes popular, interest in the SIR model is growing. Theoretically, it is possible to predict and forecast the end of the Corona 19 (or Covid 19) virus through the SIR model. In this video, we're going to use differential equations to derive the SIR model, and we're going to talk about the insights that we can get in this way. --- Legendary articles from Kermack and McKendrick can be found on the link below. http://www.math.utah.edu/~bkohler/Jou... --- If you are curious about the Data Fitting Method, please refer to the following paper in the Imperial College. https://www.doc.ic.ac.uk/teaching/dis... --- If you are curious about the exact mathematical derivation of the SEIR model, please refer to the link in Stanford. https://web.stanford.edu/~jhj1/teachi... --- Some Sources FauzIDEA, Iconfinder, Attribution 3.0 Unported (CC BY 3.0) https://www.iconfinder.com/FauzIDEA Isared Honghin, Iconfinder, Attribution 3.0 Unported (CC BY 3.0) https://www.iconfinder.com/acehonghin fukin ride, Iconfinder, Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-SA 3.0) BomSymbols . , Incofinder, Free for commercial use https://www.iconfinder.com/korawan_m --- I think the mathematical story of Corona 19 will end in trilogy. The next video will be serialized about conditional probability. --- © 2020 Weniverse. All Rights Reserved