封鎖72小時誰先斷氣？台海封鎖推演讓中共嚇出一身冷汗 | 馬一峰

A 72-hour maritime blockade sounds terrifying? Let's examine the facts and see who dies first! Many people are terrified by doomsday prophecies of "three days of power outages and island-wide darkness," but real data tells us a counterintuitive truth—in this blockade, the noose tightened first was actually the neck of the perpetrators themselves. Key points: Taiwan's energy security reserves have long been pushed to the safety threshold, with natural gas, coal, and oil reserves equivalent to several months' worth of strategic reserves. China relies on imports for 70% of its oil and 80% passes through the Strait of Malacca. Whose neck is being squeezed? A record of the 2022 Taiwan encirclement exercise: Taiwan continued to operate, while civil aviation in Xiamen, Fujian, was paralyzed. The Rocket Force's corruption black hole, from the downfall of two successive defense ministers to the "watering down" of strategic missiles. Asymmetric warfare hedgehog tactics: Hsiung Feng series missiles appear and disappear unpredictably across the mountains. Local fiscal crisis, civil servant salary cuts, public transportation shutdowns—who has the money to wage a war of attrition? - A 90% global semiconductor market share; a financial nuclear bomb could cause the CCP's GDP to plummet by 16.7% in a single click. Low-Earth orbit satellite communications plus seven months' worth of grain reserves—the interior is an underground fortress. 📌 Subscribe to Ma Yifeng's channel for the most authentic strategic analysis every day!