TCMB HAZİRAN DA FAİZ İNDİRECEK Mİ ?

Are we entering a new era in the Turkish economy? In a special London broadcast of BSEkonomi, we discussed the Central Bank's interest rate policy, inflation outlook, the dollar/TL exchange rate, hot money inflows, the risk of deindustrialization, the Fed's interest rate decisions, and the future of the Istanbul Stock Exchange with Ali Çuhadar. According to Ali Çuhadar, as the impact of war-related global shocks diminishes, the Turkish economy may enter a period of "cautious optimism" for the next six months. However, the pressure created by high real interest rates on industry and the real sector continues. In this broadcast, you can find detailed answers to the following questions: • Will the Central Bank cut interest rates? • Is a new era beginning for the dollar/TL exchange rate? • Will the decline in inflation continue? • Will the Fed raise interest rates? • How will the Istanbul Stock Exchange and hot money inflows be affected? • Is there a possibility of early elections in Türkiye? • How will oil prices and global risks shape the markets? 📌 BSEkonomi Gold Swan Membership: https://bsekonomi.com/magaza/ 📌 Trainings and Special Reports: https://bsekonomi.com/urun/egitim-der... Evaluate your risks before making investment decisions. This publication is not investment advice. 🚨 Join Gold Swan membership to access daily market analyses, demo portfolios, and special reports. 👉 https://bsekonomi.com/ekonomiyi-okumak/ 00:00 Opening 01:30 Base Scenario Realized: Oil and War Expectations 02:00 6-Month Opportunity Window in the Turkish Economy 02:52 Deindustrialization and the High Interest Rate Problem 04:03 Will the Fed Raise Interest Rates? 05:30 US Inflation and the AI ​​Bubble 06:33 What is the Real Interest Rate in Türkiye? 07:06 The Large Gap Between Inflation and Interest Rates 08:12 Why Should Real Interest Rates Be Lowered? 09:22 Political Shocks and Central Bank Reserves 10:03 Hot Money Inflows and Exchange Rate Risk 13:00 Dollar/TL and Exchange Rate Stability Analysis 14:13 The Impact of Exchange Rate Movements on Inflation 15:03 Is a Downward Trend in Inflation Beginning? 15:50 Oil Prices and the Room for Interest Rate Cuts 16:30 Should the Central Bank Lower Interest Rates to 37%? 18:15 What Happens If Interest Rates Are Cut? 19:18 July and September Monetary Policy Committee Scenarios 20:49 Year-End Inflation and Interest Rate Forecasts 21:54 Summary Assessment by Artunç Kocabalkan 24:00 2027 Election Scenario and Economic Expectations 25:20 Closing