Market Watch July 2026 : The First Post-Budget Property Forecasts

In this Market Watch episode, Debra and Scott reviewed how the Australian property market is tracking to June 2026 using data from Cotality, PropTrack, and SQM Research across all major capitals and key regional markets. They covered price movements, auction clearance rates, vacancy rates, and surging rents to reveal what’s really happening behind the headlines. The episode explains how the RBA rate pause, budget tax changes, SMSF lending ban for residential property, the end of NRAS, and new anti–money laundering rules are reshaping buyer and investor strategies. The IN FOCUS segment for this month is the post-Budget property forecasts so Deb and Scott discussed the key indicators showing where the market is heading along with a review of market changes over the past 40 years, before comparing the first post-Budget forecasts from Westpac and Domain and what the projections could mean for buyers across the Australian property market. CONTACT DETAILS Deb - https://www.propertyfrontline.com.au/... Scott - message him on (m) 0406070005 or /   / scotthochgesang.propertycoach   Join the Property Smart Start workshop here: https://www.propertyfrontline.com.au/... This episode is hosted by Debra Beck-Mewing, founder of The Property Frontline and creator of the Property Smart Track System, a professional property buying system that enables buyers to select, assess and buy property independently in today's market. 0:00 Intro, who we help, and key data sources 0:01:49 June price moves – Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and smaller capitals 0:04:33 On-the-ground conditions – demand, supply, and buyer types 0:08:53 Rental market, vacancy rates, and why it’s a “rental powder keg” 0:13:16 RBA decision, budget changes, SMSF lending ban, NRAS ending, AML rules 0:18:27 Where prices sit now vs 5 and 10 years ago (capitals and regionals) 0:23:25 Cheap vs expensive segments – which parts of each city are moving 0:24:55 Auction clearance rates, listings data, and early signs of softening 0:28:17 Housing commencements vs government targets – why we’ll miss 1.2m homes 0:31:39 Historical downturns, Westpac and Domain forecasts, and strategy takeaways