Accounting Mismatch in AI Profits | Jim Chanos and Val Zlatev on Long/Short Alpha in AI & Semis
In this panel at MacroMinds Symposium, Jack Farley sits down with legendary short seller Jim Chanos and Val Zlatev, Portfolio Manager and Partner at Analog Century Management, to analyze the long and short opportunities of the AI and semiconductor boom. Chanos highlights a significant timing disconnect wherein chip suppliers recognize revenues immediately while hyperscalers capitalize their massive infrastructure costs—a trend mirroring the late-1990s CapEx boom before tech earnings collapsed by 40%. Chanos expresses deep skepticism toward "neo-cloud" data center developers like CoreWeave, modeling a very generous ten-year GPU lifespan (depreciation schedule) to forecast low pre-tax returns on invested capital. From a micro perspective, Val Zlatev outlines the structural upside for high-demand memory stocks, noting they trade at cheap forward multiples because physical supply chain constraints hard-cap semiconductor equipment manufacturing growth at 30% annually. The discussion also scrutinizes Elon Musk’s projection for one terawatt of compute capacity, breaking down the immense real-world barriers facing space data centers, including launch costs, space radiation, and maintenance logistics. They also dissect the SpaceX S1 filing, revealing that the primary rocket launch division continues to lose money despite the profitability of Starlink. Recorded on June 4th at MacroMinds Symposium. About MacroMinds: At MacroMinds, our vision is to unite the investment community in support of organizations that are making a meaningful difference in the lives of students and their families. By partnering with high-impact nonprofits that serve socio-economically disadvantaged communities and schools, MacroMinds is committed to helping close the educational gap and expand opportunity across the New York area. MacroMinds website: https://macrominds.org/ https://macrominds.org/donate/ Charities supported by 2026 Symposium: NYC First: https://macrominds.org/nyc-first/ Opportunity Music Project: https://macrominds.org/opportunity-mu... 100 Women in Finance: https://macrominds.org/100-women-in-f... Follow Jim Chanos on X https://x.com/RealJimChanos?lang=en Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Monitoring The Situation (MTS) on X https://x.com/MTSlive Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps 00:00 Trailer 01:01 Jack's Introduction 02:22 "Finding Value On Both the Long and Short Side in AI" 07:14 "There's A Disconnect In The Profitability" Between Semis and Hyperscalers 14:00 NeoClouds and Coreweave 18:20 SpaceX & Data Centers in Space 26:20 DotCom Bubble Analogy on Assumptions of Secular Hypergrowth 35:00 Potential "Nightmare" Scenario for Longs? 37:14 Huge Bull Market in Memory 48:00 Semi Cap Equipment Names 52:34 Jack's Conclusion #chanos #stocks #investing #monetarymatters #economy #ai #jackfarley #memory #semiconductor #semiconductorrelatedstocks #shortselling

The Trillion Dollar Gap | Aswath Damodaran on SpaceX, AI and the Big Market Delusion

Expensive Market. Record Issuance. Can the Story Still Hold It Up? | 6 Things We Learned This Week

Super-KI? Die große Lüge der Tech-Konzerne

Jeremy Grantham on How to Tell if a Bubble's About to Burst | Odd Lots

The Strait of Hormuz Ship Show: Week 16 Update

Rick Rule: These Commodities Are Mind-Bogglingly Underpriced

AI Was Never About Helping You | Cory Doctorow

"Brink Of DISASTER!" Andrew Ross Sorkin On Elon Musk, AI Bubble + Ryan Cohen's “Hostile” eBay Plot

Value Investing Legend Seth Klarman: Masters in Business

6-22-26 When Money Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed

المُخبر الاقتصادي+ | لماذا أخفت أمريكا أقوى نموذج ذكاء اصطناعي بعد 3 أيام فقط من إصداره؟

The Trillion-Dollar US Manufacturing Renaissance is Here (No AI Needed) | Chris Semenuk

Henrik Zeberg: The Final Melt-Up Before Everything Breaks

Swiss Bond Market Just Gave A Dire Warning to the World

Inside the Mind of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei | The Circuit | Extended Interview

The Supply and Demand of AI Tokens | Dylan Patel Interview

The AI Investment Boom: When Will It Pay Off?

STRAIT OF HORMUZ CLOSED AGAIN, INFLATION RISK SOARING - w/ Financial Journalist David Lin

Can the US-Iran peace deal hold? | John Mearsheimer & Trita Parsi

