Should Kinský Be Spurs No. 1? The Data Tells Two Different Stories

In March, Kinský was subbed off after 17 minutes in a disastrous Champions League debut. Today, Spurs have built their entire goalkeeper strategy around him. In this episode, I dig into three seasons of data to understand whether De Zerbi is right to back him — or whether Spurs are taking a huge gamble. Using per‑90 percentile data from Europe’s top leagues, we look at where Spurs’ keepers actually sit on distribution and prevented‑goals metrics, what a De Zerbi goalkeeper is really asked to do, and how Kinský’s 23/24 Slavia profile made him one of Europe’s most exciting young keepers. Then we track the Premier League data: the Atletico disaster, the three clean sheets under RDZ, and the parts of his game that quietly improved while everything around him fell apart. From there, we weigh the honest risks against the upside of a system that finally suits him. Finally we look at the club’s decision to sign Dubravka for free instead of spending on a clear upgrade. This is Episode 3 of The Rooster Regression, my data‑driven Spurs analysis series. Follow me on X for Spurs data threads: https://x.com/enyacollins #thfc #coys #dezerbi #spurs #kinsky #dubravka