Сто дней: почему Трамп не может закончить войну с Ираном?

🌍 One hundred days after the war began, Donald Trump faces a problem he didn't expect to see. ⚔️ Why isn't US and Israeli military superiority leading to quick political results? ⛽ How has the Strait of Hormuz become Iran's main tool for pressuring Washington? 🇮🇷 Why isn't Tehran capitulating despite sanctions, strikes, and international pressure? 🇺🇸 How serious are the differences between the White House and the Israeli government becoming? 📊 How are rising oil prices and falling ratings beginning to affect American domestic politics? 🚨 Why are more and more analysts drawing parallels with Iraq, Afghanistan, and other conflicts where military force failed to bring political victory? 🌐 What does the current crisis say about the future of American leadership and the new world order? 🔍 We examine Iran's strategy, Trump's dilemma, Netanyahu's position, and possible scenarios for the Middle East. Arkady Mil-Man is a senior fellow and director of the Russia Program at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS). https://www.inss.org.il/ Former Israeli Ambassador to the Russian Federation. 🔴 Subscribe to stay up-to-date with important analyses! 00:00:00 🕐 One Hundred Days of Deadlock: Why the Third Iran War Became a Trap for the Oval Office and Ruined Trump's Schedule. 00:01:28 🕐 Gas Prices vs. Ratings: How the Protracted Gulf Conflict Has Hit the Wallets of American Voters. 00:03:24 🕐 The Ayatollahs' Main Trump Card: Why the Narrow Strait of Hormuz Has Proved More Effective Than Nuclear Centrifuges and Missile Arsenals. 00:04:54 🕐 Deadlock of symmetrical responses: the inability of US strategic aviation to forcefully open blocked sea lanes. 00:05:46 🕐 The price of a grand bargain: why Tehran has linked the oil issue to Hezbollah's security and a ceasefire in Lebanon. 00:07:11 🕐 A double ultimatum to shipping: the Houthi involvement in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and panic in commodity markets. 00:08:19 🕐 A split in allies: why the White House craves any political deal while Israel strives for a military victory. 00:09:50 🕐 The shadow of October 7: Israeli society's existential demand to permanently eliminate the missile threat on the northern border. 00:12:23 🕐 Playing on Contradictions: How Iran Uses Differences in US and Jerusalem Goals to Strengthen Its Negotiating Position. 00:14:54 🕐 Lessons from Vietnam and Afghanistan: Why the Coalition's Colossal Technological Superiority Doesn't Transform into Peace. 00:17:21 🕐 The Suez Syndrome of 1956: Historical Parallels with the Collapse of the British and French Imperial Model of Power in Egypt. 00:21:50 🕐 A Single Crisis of the Global System: How the Ukrainian Front, European Markets, and the Middle East Have Become Intertwined. 00:24:00 🕐 A View from Moscow and Beijing: Why the World's Autocracies Are Carefully Noting the Limits of Washington's Global Leadership. #MilMan #Arkady_MilMan #Israel #Russia #ABCs_of_geopolitics