【ノイマン】努力より確率。成功する人間の思考法

▼Table of Contents 00:00 Introduction 01:56 1. Looking at probabilities first changes how you allocate your efforts 04:30 2. The form of the question determines the range of the answer 07:06 3. The longer you wait for complete information, the lower the probability of making a decision 09:43 4. How you construct the structure determines the overall probability 12:29 5. Taking others' reactions into account changes the probability of making a decision 14:55 6. Working backward from the result determines the priority of your current actions 17:37 7. Reducing complexity increases the number of questions you can make decisions on 19:52 Conclusion ▼References Computers and the Brain https://amzn.to/3MmdFm1 The Man from the Future by John von Neumann https://amzn.to/4a0EjdV The Compleat Strategyst: Being a Primer on the Theory of Games of Strategy https://amzn.to/4sl6r2e Game Theory and Economic Behavior 1 https://amzn.to/4aFiDnL The Prisoner's Dilemma: Von Neumann, Game Theory, and the Fear of Nuclear Weapons https://amzn.to/49hWN7A The Computer and the Brain https://amzn.to/48YMlTv Von Neumann's Philosophy: The Devil in Human Disguise https://amzn.to/48Dmkrt The Life of Von Neumann https://amzn.to/494Zppx John Von Neumann: The Scientific Genius Who Pioneered the Modern Computer https://www.amazon.com/dp/0821820648 John von Neumann and the Origins of Modern Computing https://www.amazon.com/dp/0262011212 The Martian's Daughter: A Memoir https://amzn.to/4qANcjt John Von Neumann: Selected Letters https://amzn.to/4aRRIpd [References and Sources] This video is a summary of primary sources and research literature, reconstructed in modern language. It is not a word-for-word reading of the original text, but a summary based on the content of multiple sources. All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please send me an email, [email protected] and we can sort it out. Some URLs listed on this channel are Amazon Associate links.