I Was WRONG About The 4 Year Cycle

For the last year, I've argued that this Bitcoin cycle was fundamentally different. New all-time highs before the halving. No true blow-off top. No real altseason. ETF flows. Institutional adoption. A completely different macro backdrop. And I still believe all of those things are true. But I was wrong about one thing: I dramatically underestimated how powerful the 4-year cycle belief itself could be. In this video, I break down the surprising discovery that changed my thinking, including a tool I built that strips charts down to their raw structure and compares them against historical cycles. What I found forced me to rethink how Bitcoin actually moves. We cover: Why the 2025 selloff looked so similar to previous cycles The role social contagion plays in Bitcoin markets Why belief itself can become a market-moving force How the 4-year cycle may be both real and misunderstood Why October could become a major catalyst in both directions How ETF flows, liquidity, and macro conditions are changing the cycle Why this cycle is still fundamentally different from 2017 and 2021 What my models currently suggest about the path ahead Most importantly: If the same social force that helped drive the selloff is real... Then it can also become a powerful bullish force when sentiment flips. Keep in mind this is just my personal take and what i'm doing with my personal money, not investment advice. ----------- THE OBSIDIAN COUNCIL PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP 📝 The Obsidian Council Premium Membership Is CLOSED ❌ Join The Waitlist: https://theobsidiancouncil.myflodesk.... ---------- THE NEVER DIE NEWSLETTER 🎉 Signup For The Never Die Weekly Newsletter: https://neverdie.club/ --------------------- AFFLIATE LINKS: 💻 Stoic Meta AI Strategy: https://stoic.ai/?ref=jesse 🔒 My Favorite Hardware Wallet: https://trezor.go2cloud.org/aff_c?off... ------ SUBSCRIBE: Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/c/jesseeckel2... OTHER PLACES I'M AT: 🐦 Twitter:   / jesseeckel   🖥️ Farcaster: https://warpcast.com/jesseeckel -------- *IMPORTANT PLEASE READ: None of this is meant to be taken as any form of investment advice, it's just me sharing my journey to a million and taking about what I'm up to and the strategies and tactics I'm using to try to get there. I am almost always talking about tokens that I myself own and obviously have a bias toward seeing them appreciate in value. Do your own research always! I'm a normal guy who makes mistakes and has made plenty so far during this journey. So choosing to blindly copy what I'm doing isn't going to lead you to just making a ton of money. I've had investments where I've lost EVERYTHING. I don't just say do your own research as a legal covering but because you really need to do your own research and make your own call. If you don't understand what you're investing in you can lose A LOT of money! Especially in crypto which is super super risky. A lot of the projects I like to jump in are really small crypto projects which make them even more insane risky. Past performance doesn't mean the project will do the same thing in the future, no one can predict the future and what will happen next. I'm pretty passionate about this, I am by no means a professional investor. I'm on my journey to a million dollars, I don't even have the experience to have made a million dollars. All this is to share my journey because I believe there is value in watching me both succeed and fail. It's my story I'm sharing with all of you, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH and don't just blindly copy me😄 Also all of this info might be accurate at the time of me recording and posting but in the future things could change. Especially in crypto things change fast, so just be aware of that. Thanks! I hold investments in the tokens I'm talking about unless I otherwise state I don't. Best just to assume that if I'm talking about it, I own it. My Disclosures: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1d... #Crypto #Bullrun