Warum die Großmächte aufhörten zu kämpfen – und warum dies nun ein Ende findet | Prof. Jiang Xueqin

#Geopolitics #GameTheory #TheLongPeace #Geopolitics #GameTheory #TheLongPeace For eight decades, the world's major powers never directly waged war against each other. We told ourselves a comforting story: that humanity had finally matured, become more moral, and left war behind. This story is false. In this lecture, I will explain why the "Long Peace" was never about morality—but about structures. Using game theory and structural history, we will analyze the four hidden pillars that made war between major powers seem irrational for eight decades—and why these four pillars simultaneously began to crack in 2026, thus breaking the rule that provided us with security. We examine: → Why peace is a state of equilibrium, not a moral achievement—and why this changes everything → The four structural pillars that quietly held the Long Peace together → How nuclear deterrence, economic interdependence, a single dominant power, and shared institutions each made war an irrational option → Why each of these pillars is now cracking or has already collapsed → The warning of 1909, which the world ignored shortly before 1914—and is ignoring again today → Why a multipolar world is far more dangerous than the one we just left behind → The Thucydides Trap, the Sicilian Expedition, and the iron logic of imperial overextension This is not about taking sides, nor is it about making prophecies. It is a well-founded, evidence-based structural analysis from the perspective of game theory and historical patterns—applied to the most dangerous turning point of our time. 🔥 Stay tuned until the end – the historical parallel will change your perspective on every headline. Write your answer in the comments below: Are we living in the gap between two world orders? 👇 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER This video is for educational, analytical, and informational purposes only. All insights are based on publicly available information, historical precedents, economic data, and established game-theoretic models. The views expressed are for discussion and knowledge transfer and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, political, or other professional advice. This channel does not endorse or promote any government, political party, military action, or political agenda. Some visuals may contain AI-generated content for narrative purposes. Geopolitical events are complex and subject to rapid change – viewers are encouraged to conduct their own research and form an informed opinion. 🔔 Subscribe to the channel for weekly, in-depth geopolitical analyses based on game theory, structural history, and sober strategic thinking. ``` The Long Peace, why people avoid war, explanation of wars between great powers, nuclear deterrence, mutually assured destruction, economic interdependence, multipolarity, Thucydides Trap, Sicilian Expedition, "The Great Illusion" (1909), game theory of war, structural history, balance of power, security dilemma, nuclear taboo, decline of the American empire, de-dollarization, collapse of the petrodollar, world order 2026, geopolitics 2026, is a Third World War imminent, why peace ends, power transition theory #Geopolitics #GameTheory #TheLongPeace #Multipolarity #ThucydidesTrap #NuclearDeterrence #StructuralHistory #Geopolitics2026 #WorldOrder #GreatPowerCompetition #Petrodollar #IranWar2026