柔森州选：安华的大选压力测试？ Will Johor shape Malaysia’s next general election? #东谈西论 #早报播客

马来西亚柔佛州的选举，将在星期六（6月27日）提名。由首相安华领导的希望联盟，星期一晚上在东甲举行造势大会，公布希盟柔佛州选56名候选人的完整名单。 较早前，希盟在柔佛州的最大对手，国民阵线已经宣布，将角逐全部56个州议席，但未公布候选人名单。 希盟与国阵，都是安华领导的中央团结政府的成员党。国阵宣布竞选柔佛州的全部议席，标志着这两个政治阵营全面竞争。 柔佛州选被视为马来西亚全国大选的前哨战、风向标。这次州选的结果，会如何影响团结政府的运作以及存续？马来西亚全国大选会在什么时候举行？由安华的公正党前署理主席拉菲兹的团队接管的同心党等“第三势力”，是否有可能掀起新风潮？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》 https://zb.sg/gXFZ ， 听主持人韩咏红与马来西亚政治观察者、华社研究中心学术董事潘永强博士深入解析。 延伸阅读： 安华腹背受敌 马国大选还能拖多久？| 世界大解说 https://zb.sg/MYSy 胡逸山：柔佛州选与安华的大选算盘 https://zb.sg/vYMq 00:00 开场 01:39 柔佛与森美兰州选的战略博弈 08:16 团结政府的内部撕裂 14:03 第三势力的生存之道 21:33 大马政治为何走向碎片化？ 30:58 柔森战果定大选时间点？ Malaysia's Johor snap election is shaping up as a major stress test for Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim's federal unity government. With nominations set for June 27 and polling on July 11, the southern state has become a critical battleground, as Pakatan Harapan (PH) and Barisan Nasional (BN) are federal partners but direct rivals in Johor, where BN holds power as the incumbent state government. BN has announced it will contest all 56 state seats, with party leaders framing Johor as a launchpad for a broader national comeback. Perikatan Nasional is also contesting all 56 seats, setting up fierce multi-cornered fights across most constituencies. Adding further disruption is Parti Bersama Malaysia (Bersama), a minor party taken over in May 2026 by former Economy Minister Rafizi Ramli and former minister Nik Nazmi Nik Ahmad, which is running independently and contesting a selection of seats. Widely viewed as a bellwether for the next general election, the result could determine whether BN's aggressive push fractures the unity government and whether local state results accelerate a nationwide vote. In this episode of Global Heartbeat, host Han Yonghong is joined by Dr. Phoon Wing Keong, political observer and chairperson of the Huayan Policy Institute, to unpack the stakes on this episode of Global Heartbeat. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. #zaobaosg #johor #pakatanharapan #perikatannasional #election #malysia -- 立即加入《联合早报》Telegram和WhatsApp频道，获取即时新闻推送，方便掌握最新消息。 Telegram：https://t.me/zaobaosg WhatsApp：https://zb.sg/whatsapp 关注我们 Follow us: zaobao.sg FB：  / zaobaosg   zaobao.sg Twitter：https://x.com/zaobaosg zaobao.sg Instagram：  / zaobaosg