LOS 4 ESCENARIOS POSIBLES ANTE UNA CRISIS INSOSTENIBLE

These are four hypothetical scenarios that would remain on the table after 39 days of blockades and an unsustainable crisis. The most likely, with a high probability, is a limited state of emergency: Paz will use the Police and Armed Forces to open only corridors to La Paz and El Alto, seeking images of normalization without controlling the entire country. If he manages to do so with few clashes, he would regain the political initiative. The most feared scenario has a medium-high probability: the lifting of the blockades with deaths and injuries. In that case, the problem would no longer be the roads, but the legitimacy of the government. National and international condemnations, rhetoric of repression, and neutral sectors joining the mobilizations. There is also the possibility of a negotiated solution, increasingly unlikely, and the silent attrition: resignations, internal questioning, and Paz losing authority to the point of wondering if he can still govern. #TeLoCuentaVictorHugo #Bolivia #paratiiiiiii #viral_viral_viral #FYP