June Property Market Update: The Crash Everyone Predicts Isn't Coming

📞 BOOK A FREE CLARITY CALL Want a property investment strategy built around the new rules? Speak with our team of buyers agents, mortgage brokers and tax specialists: https://www.smashproperty.com.au/book... Everyone's calling a property crash. The data says the opposite — and cash buyers are already moving. This is the June 2026 Australian Property Market Update. National values went flat at the headline level for the first time in ages, and the media's running with "the market's cooling." It's not. The top end pulled back and dragged the median down, while the lower end is heating up fast. I break down exactly what's happening across every capital city, what the budget changes actually mean for you (negative gearing + CGT), and where I'd be buying right now. If you want the detailed PDF version of this update, it's in the resources section at smashpropertyinvesting.com.au. ❓ FAQ Is the Australian property market going to crash in 2026? Unlikely. Owner-occupiers make up ~70% of the market, and a major fall would hit banks, super funds and the broader economy — which is why government has little incentive to let it happen. The headline flatness is the top end pulling back, not a broad decline. Did the budget changes scrap negative gearing? No. Negative gearing still exists inside your property portfolio — losses can be carried against future rental income or capital gains from that property. What's changed is you can no longer offset those losses against your personal income, so cash flow matters more than ever. Are the CGT changes a dealbreaker? On the numbers, barely. On a hypothetical $750K purchase held 10 years, the after-tax gain under an indexation model lands within a few thousand dollars of the old 50% discount. It's largely rebranded, not removed. Where should I buy with a budget under $600K? Melbourne townhouses and units are the standout for liquidity and yield, with regional Victoria houses in play if you can cover the cash flow or add a secondary dwelling. 00:00 Intro 02:08 The National Market Just Stalled 04:28 Capital Cities Ranked For May 07:56 The 5-Year Gap: Perth Vs Melbourne 09:09 Rental Yields Across The Capitals 11:59 What's Really Driving The Market 14:30 The CGT & Negative Gearing Changes Explained 18:15 Why The Market Won't Crash 20:16 Where To Buy Right Now 26:04 Final Thoughts & How To Work With Us 📌 Stay Connected: TikTok:   / smashpropertyinvesting   Instagram:   / smashpropertyinvesting   Facebook:   / smashpropertyinvesting   Email: [email protected] Website: www.smashpropertyinvesting.com.au ******************** 📝 DISCLAIMER 📝 No Legal, Financial or Taxation Advice. The Listener, Reader or Viewer acknowledges and agrees that: • Any information provided by us is provided as general information and for general information purposes only; • We have not taken the Listener, Reader or Viewers personal and financial circumstances into consideration when providing information; • We must not and have not provided legal, financial or taxation advice to the Listener, Reader or Viewer; • The information provided must be verified by the Listener, Viewer or Reader prior to the Listener, Viewer or Reader acting or relying on the information by an independent professional advisor including a legal, financial, taxation advisor and the listener Reader or Viewers accountant; • The information may not be suitable or applicable to the listener, Reader or Viewers individual circumstances; • We do not hold an Australian Financial Services License as defined by Section 9 of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and we are not authorised to provide financial services to the Listener, Reader or Viewer, and we have not provided financial services to the Listener, Reader or Viewer.