¿Riesgo de repetición de la crisis de 2008? La advertencia sobre el crudo a 100$ y las tasas del BCE

Risk of a repeat of the 2008 crisis? The warning about oil at $100 and ECB interest rates XTB's Head of Research, Ignacio Mieres, addresses the resurgence of volatility in financial markets, driven by the rebound in oil prices, surpassing the $100 per barrel mark, and growing fears of an inflationary surge. Mieres explains that logistical disruptions in the Red Sea and the increase in energy risk premiums threaten to restrict the flow of oil to Asia and the West. In this context, the expert highlights that volatility in energy prices adds pressure to the bond market, where yields on the 10-year US Treasury note at 4.7% and the 30-year Treasury note at 5% complicate financing conditions for corporate issuers. In the corporate sector, the analyst assesses the severe correction experienced by the technology sector following the earnings reports presented by Alphabet and Tesla. Mieres emphasizes that the market is penalizing the substantial increase in capital expenditures (CAPEX) dedicated to artificial intelligence without clear visibility regarding monetization or an immediate expansion of operating margins. Regarding European monetary policy, following the European Central Bank's decision to maintain interest rates at 2.25%, Mieres warns of the risk of a potential tightening in September. Comparing the current situation with the events of 2007-2008, he points out that raising interest rates in response to an energy supply shock can severely damage global demand and economic activity. #interview #economy #usa #iran #war #wallstreet #market #vix #oil #brent #ai #tesla #alphabet #fed #businesstv 🔞Disclaimer: All information, material, and/or content included in this program is for informational and educational purposes only. Investing in stocks, options, and futures is risky and not suitable for all investors. Consult your own independent financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Business TV is not responsible for the opinions expressed in the video.