জেল-মৃত্যু পরোয়ানা মাথার ওপর ঝুলছে, তবু কেন শেখ হাসিনা দেশে ফিরতে ব্যগ্র?

There are deep political and strategic reasons behind Sheikh Hasina's strong desire or interest to return to Bangladesh despite the political changes and hostile situation. According to analysts and political observers, there are several main factors at work behind this: 1. Maintaining political existence and leadership of the Awami League Sheikh Hasina knows very well that if she is out of the country for a long time, her and her family's control over the party may weaken. Eliminating the leadership crisis: Her physical presence is very important to overcome the disappointment that has arisen among the grassroots and middle-ranking leaders and activists of the Awami League in her absence. Maintaining the existence of the party: If she does not stand up for herself as the party president, the Awami League may be at risk of becoming completely leaderless or fragmented. 2. Creating the image of a 'political victim' Returning to the country with a prison sentence or death warrant on her head can be considered a symbol of "courage" or "sacrifice" in politics. Creating public awareness: If he chooses to fight a legal battle or go to prison upon his return, he could present himself as a political victim to his party supporters and in the international community. History repeats itself: In the past (such as during 1/11 of 2007), he has faced strong obstacles and lawsuits to return home, which later strengthened his political position. 3. Creating legal battles and international pressure He may find it more effective for long-term politics to face the courts upon his return to his country than to spend his life in exile abroad. Questioning the legitimacy of the trial process: If he faces a case upon his return to his country, his lawyers will have the opportunity to question the transparency and impartiality of this trial process on the world stage. International attention: If a top leader of a major political party is imprisoned or tried, it will naturally attract the attention of the world community, which can create a kind of pressure on the current interim or new government. 4. Strengthening the field level leaders and activists In the absence of leadership, Awami League workers are currently in an extremely corner. Sheikh Hasina's announcement or attempt to return to the country sends a message to the workers that "the leader has not fled the field." This can act as a tonic to rebuild the collapsed organizational strength.