中共政權垮台後，要注意什麼？如何促成中共垮台？【知定講堂 曹興誠 余茂春】EP178 (上)

When will the CCP collapse? Nobody knows. But more importantly — what should Chinese society do after the CCP falls? Professor Miles Yu (Yu Maochun) warns that democratic societies must prepare in advance, because issues such as ethnic conflict, social injustice, and dealing with CCP officials in a post-authoritarian China are all matters of transitional justice. He hopes to draw on the experiences of the United States and Taiwan to help the Chinese people establish a constitutional system and achieve democracy. 00:00 Introduction to Dr. Miles Yu：China after Communism: Preparing for a Post-CCP China 01:08 How to respond to a post-CCP China The timing and manner of the CCP’s collapse are unpredictable, but all authoritarian systems have the potential to fall. The real danger is not just the existence of authoritarianism, but “when it suddenly collapses and no one is prepared.” Examples cited: Poland, Czechoslovakia, the Soviet Union/Russia. 03:33 Transitional challenges and strategies Ethnic and social conflicts: Risk of ethnic revenge in regions such as Xinjiang and Tibet. Justice and accountability: How to fairly deal with CCP officials, carry out accountability for crimes, and prevent uncontrolled retaliation. Dismantling authoritarian apparatus: How to address police, secret police, and other repressive institutions. Revealing historical truth: Following examples like East Germany’s Stasi archive opening or South Africa’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission. Clarifying historical events: The death toll of the Great Leap Forward, identifying those responsible for the Cultural Revolution, uncovering the truth about Tiananmen Square, tracing the origins of COVID-19, etc. 05:25 Implementing constitutionalism and democracy The ultimate goal is to establish a constitutional system and return sovereignty to the people. Emphasis on popular sovereignty — allowing local populations to decide whether to unite or become independent. Drawing lessons from the U.S. and Taiwan’s experiences. 09:21 Local autonomy and the possibility of a federation Encourage provinces and municipalities to first establish local legislatures and constitutions, becoming “adults” with sovereignty before deciding whether to form a federation or become independent. Historical perspective: The Beiyang warlord era, like the Spring and Autumn and Warring States periods, saw competition that fostered talent and institutional development. 15:27 Historical lessons from unity and division Research by a Fudan University professor shows that in Chinese history, periods of “great unification” often led to stagnation, whereas division and competition promoted development. Unified regimes often maintained control through “keep the people ignorant” policies — such as the imperial exam system and literary inquisition — suppressing thought and innovation. #Robert Tsao #MilesYu #CCPCollapse #UDHR #PopularSovereignty #CommunistParty ✴️ Miles Yu, a Chinese-American scholar and politician, former principal China policy and planning adviser to the U.S. Secretary of State, currently Director of the Hudson Institute’s China Center and Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution.