Wachstumsagenda 2030 – wie kann Deutschland wieder Erfolgsgeschichten schreiben?

Watch ad-free in our ifo Media Library: https://www.ifo.de/mediathek/2024-12-... Munich Economic Debate with Prof. Clemens Fuest, ifo Institute December 9, 2024 https://www.ifo.de/veranstaltung/2024... 01:29 What were the forecasts a year ago? 03:29 Agenda 06:15 ifo Business Climate November 07:10 Gross Value Added in the Private Sector in Germany Shrinks 08:18 Joint Economic Forecast Autumn 2024: German Economy in Transition – Economic Cycle and Growth Weak 10:36 Growth Prospects: Europe Weak, Germany at the Bottom 11:15 Medium-Term Economic Development 13:10 Working Hours per Employee Declining 14:30 Annual Working Hours – Germany at the Bottom 16:10 Aging Society: Employment Growth in the Public and Healthcare Sectors 17:15 Investments 17:20 Business Investment in Germany in 2024 Significantly Lower Than in 2019 20:00 Investments: Equipment and Construction Decline, R&D Increases 21:42 Germany 2030 – Goals and Conflicting Goals 22:12 Challenges and Foreseeable Developments 30:38 Germany 2030: Targets 45:15 Economic Policy Implications of Increased Geopolitical Threat 47:40 Defence and Economic Resilience – The Example of Israel 47:50 Impact of the 2024 War on the Israeli Economy 51:00 Structure of Government Revenue in 2022: Higher Taxation of Consumption and Real Estate in Israel 52:35 Government Spending in 2022: Israel Spends More on Defense and Education 56:15 Discussion Points for Germany 01:01:06 Economic Policy Agenda 2030 for Germany and the EU The coalition government has collapsed. The path is clear for a new political beginning. Impulses for greater growth are urgently needed. The new elections in February 2025 offer the opportunity to make Germany future-proof – provided the economy and society are ready for change. Proposals for tackling this change are on the table, for example, for reducing bureaucracy, tax reform, greater participation in the labor market, and shaping energy and climate policy. This needs to be linked to a vision for the future. Can narratives play a role in overcoming the forces of inertia? Which narrative would be suitable to help Germany emerge from the crisis? What might a vision for the future of prosperity in Germany look like? Moderator: Judith Wittwer, Editor-in-Chief of the Süddeutsche Zeitung ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich